Tue, Feb 10 2026 • 10:30 • Shamakhi City Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.03 (league 1.27) 3.72 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
5.9% 9.0% 67.7%
best score tips
1 - 3
7.6%
0 - 3
7.4%
1 - 4
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
Qarabag
0 1 2 3 4 5
Keshla FC 0 0.9% 3.2% 6.0% 7.4% 6.9% 5.2%
1 0.9% 3.3% 6.2% 7.6% 7.1% 5.3%
2 0.5% 1.7% 3.2% 3.9% 3.6% 2.7%
3 0.2% 0.6% 1.1% 1.3% 1.2% 0.9%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKeshla FCQarabag
Played55
Form60%60%
Attack58%75%
Defense42%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Keshla FC Qarabag
HATHAT
Played8101811718
Wins38%30%33%64%71%67%
Draws13%40%28%18%14%17%
Loses50%30%39%18%14%17%

Form: Keshla FC: DLDWLDWLDLWDLWWLLW • Qarabag: LWDWWWWDWWWWDWLWLW

League goals

Metric Keshla FC Qarabag
HATHAT
GF total101020161733
GF avg1.31.01.11.52.41.8
GA total148225712
GA avg1.80.81.20.51.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKeshla FCQarabag
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%61%83%50%
1.522%39%56%17%
2.511%11%17%0%
3.50%11%17%0%
4.50%0%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKeshla FCQarabag
HATHAT
Clean sheets257729
Failed to score134303

Penalties

MetricKeshla FCQarabag
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total36

Streaks

MetricKeshla FCQarabag
Wins24
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-35-10-5
Biggest losses0-42-00-22-1
Goals For3355
Goals Against4222

Model comparison

MetricKeshla FCQarabag
Form50%50%
Att44%56%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution23%77%
H2h29%71%
Goals40%60%
Total38.7%61.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Qarabag

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home8.90 @ 188Bet
Draw5.00 @ 188Bet
Away1.45 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.04 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.35 @ 188Bet
No1.78 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Keshla FC = 1.03 (league 1.27), Qarabag = 3.72 (league 1.16)

Qarabag
0 1 2 3 4 5
Keshla FC 0 0.9% 3.2% 6.0% 7.4% 6.9% 5.2%
1 0.9% 3.3% 6.2% 7.6% 7.1% 5.3%
2 0.5% 1.7% 3.2% 3.9% 3.6% 2.7%
3 0.2% 0.6% 1.1% 1.3% 1.2% 0.9%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.9% · Draw 9.0% · Away win 67.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1