Thu, Oct 2 2025 • 00:00 • Estadio Palogrande
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.16 (league 1.44) 0.40 (league 0.89)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.3% 3.6% 1.0%
best score tips
4 - 0
13.1%
3 - 0
12.6%
5 - 0
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Deportivo Pasto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Once Caldas 0 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.4% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.1% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.6% 5.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 13.1% 5.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 10.9% 4.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOnce CaldasDeportivo Pasto
Played35
Form67%47%
Attack53%53%
Defense87%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 2.78 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.75 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Once Caldas Deportivo Pasto
HATHAT
Played123325
Wins100%50%67%67%0%40%
Draws0%0%0%0%50%20%
Loses0%50%33%33%50%40%

Form: Once Caldas: WLW • Deportivo Pasto: WDWLL

League goals

Metric Once Caldas Deportivo Pasto
HATHAT
GF total628718
GF avg6.01.02.72.30.51.6
GA total022325
GA avg0.01.00.71.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOnce CaldasDeportivo Pasto
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%80%80%
1.567%0%40%20%
2.533%0%40%0%
3.533%0%0%0%
4.533%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOnce CaldasDeportivo Pasto
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricOnce CaldasDeportivo Pasto
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricOnce CaldasDeportivo Pasto
Wins11
Draws01
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-23-0
Biggest losses1-01-21-0
Goals For6231
Goals Against0121

Model comparison

MetricOnce CaldasDeportivo Pasto
Form46%54%
Att50%50%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total53.4%46.6%

Advice: Winner : Once Caldas

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.20 @ 188Bet
Draw3.40 @ 10Bet
Away4.60 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.70 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.48 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.60 @ 188Bet
No1.62 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Once Caldas = 4.16 (league 1.44), Deportivo Pasto = 0.40 (league 0.89)

Deportivo Pasto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Once Caldas 0 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.4% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.1% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.6% 5.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 13.1% 5.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 10.9% 4.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.3% · Draw 3.6% · Away win 1.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1