Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 00:00 •
Estadio Arena Cora
Expected Goals
2.46 (league 1.53)
1.04 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 64.6% | 17.3% | 14.0% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.5%
2 - 0
9.2%
3 - 1
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Tritons Vallarta | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tigres de Alica | 0 | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.4% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.2% | 9.5% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.5% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Tigres de Alica | Tritons Vallarta |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 67% |
| Attack | 80% | 50% |
| Defense | 30% | 80% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Tigres de Alica | Tritons Vallarta | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 12 | 10 | 22 |
| Wins | 64% | 58% | 61% | 83% | 30% | 59% |
| Draws | 9% | 17% | 13% | 0% | 10% | 5% |
| Loses | 27% | 25% | 26% | 17% | 60% | 36% |
Form: Tigres de Alica: DWWLWLLLLWWWWWWWWWWDLWD • Tritons Vallarta: WWWWLLWWLWLLWWWLLWLWWD
League goals
| Metric | Tigres de Alica | Tritons Vallarta | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 18 | 41 | 20 | 11 | 31 |
| GF avg | 2.1 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 12 | 11 | 23 | 7 | 18 | 25 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Tigres de Alica | Tritons Vallarta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 91% | 74% | 77% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 26% | 41% | 41% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 0% | 14% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 0% | 5% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 9% | 0% | 5% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Tigres de Alica | Tritons Vallarta | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Tigres de Alica | Tritons Vallarta |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Tigres de Alica | Tritons Vallarta |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 10 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 1-4 | 5-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-1 | 0-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Tigres de Alica | Tritons Vallarta |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 62% | 38% |
| Def | 22% | 78% |
| Poisson Distribution | 71% | 29% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 51.5% | 48.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Tigres de Alica or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Tigres de Alica = 2.46 (league 1.53), Tritons Vallarta = 1.04 (league 1.17)
| Tritons Vallarta | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tigres de Alica | 0 | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.4% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.2% | 9.5% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.5% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.6% · Draw 17.3% · Away win 14.0%
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