Fri, Mar 27 2026 • 22:00 • Estadio Tres de Marzo
Second Half
Expected Goals
2.09 (league 1.54) 1.55 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.2% 21.1% 28.2%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.9%
1 - 1
8.5%
2 - 2
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Leones Negros
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tecos 0 2.6% 4.1% 3.2% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
1 5.5% 8.5% 6.6% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
2 5.7% 8.9% 6.9% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4%
3 4.0% 6.2% 4.8% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
4 2.1% 3.2% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.9% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTecosLeones Negros
Played55
Form20%80%
Attack12%71%
Defense76%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.412 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tecos Leones Negros
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins67%42%54%75%42%58%
Draws25%8%17%8%8%8%
Loses8%50%29%17%50%33%

Form: Tecos: WLWDWWWWWLWLWWLWWWLDLDLD • Leones Negros: DLDWWLWWLWWWLLWLWWLWWWLW

League goals

Metric Tecos Leones Negros
HATHAT
GF total271845211839
GF avg2.31.51.91.81.51.6
GA total14173191726
GA avg1.21.41.30.81.41.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTecosLeones Negros
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%79%71%75%
1.558%29%54%21%
2.529%17%25%8%
3.513%4%8%4%
4.54%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTecosLeones Negros
HATHAT
Clean sheets325426
Failed to score044257

Penalties

MetricTecosLeones Negros
Scored (total | %)1 | 50.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)1 | 50.00%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricTecosLeones Negros
Wins53
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-12-53-01-4
Biggest losses2-43-10-23-1
Goals For4535
Goals Against4324

Model comparison

MetricTecosLeones Negros
Form20%80%
Att14%86%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h40%60%
Goals57%43%
Total41.7%58.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Leones Negros

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.20 @ Unibet
Draw3.70 @ Bet365
Away3.20 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.15 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.55 @ 10Bet
No2.32 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tecos = 2.09 (league 1.54), Leones Negros = 1.55 (league 1.16)

Leones Negros
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tecos 0 2.6% 4.1% 3.2% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
1 5.5% 8.5% 6.6% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
2 5.7% 8.9% 6.9% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4%
3 4.0% 6.2% 4.8% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
4 2.1% 3.2% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.9% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.2% · Draw 21.1% · Away win 28.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1