Sat, Mar 28 2026 • 02:00 • Estadio Héroe de Nacozari
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.65 (league 1.54) 1.60 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.9% 24.7% 59.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.8%
0 - 2
13.5%
1 - 1
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Durango
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cimarrones 0 10.5% 16.8% 13.5% 7.2% 2.9% 0.9%
1 6.8% 10.9% 8.8% 4.7% 1.9% 0.6%
2 2.2% 3.6% 2.9% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCimarronesDurango
Played55
Form67%100%
Attack56%100%
Defense69%94%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.817 | 3.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 11 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cimarrones Durango
HATHAT
Played121224111223
Wins75%42%58%73%92%83%
Draws17%33%25%9%0%4%
Loses8%25%17%18%8%13%

Form: Cimarrones: WWWDLWWLWDDDWWWWDLWDWLWW • Durango: WWLWWWLWWWWDWWWWLWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Cimarrones Durango
HATHAT
GF total241943293766
GF avg2.01.61.82.63.12.9
GA total712198614
GA avg0.61.00.80.70.50.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCimarronesDurango
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%54%91%48%
1.538%25%74%9%
2.529%0%52%4%
3.513%0%35%0%
4.54%0%26%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCimarronesDurango
HATHAT
Clean sheets74115712
Failed to score123112

Penalties

MetricCimarronesDurango
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricCimarronesDurango
Wins44
Draws31
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-20-46-01-6
Biggest losses1-22-11-31-0
Goals For7466
Goals Against2232

Model comparison

MetricCimarronesDurango
Form40%60%
Att35%65%
Def17%83%
Poisson Distribution30%70%
H2h75%25%
Goals80%20%
Total46.2%53.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Durango

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.00 @ Bet365
Draw3.75 @ Bet365
Away1.97 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ SBO
Under 2.52.23 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ Superbet
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cimarrones = 0.65 (league 1.54), Durango = 1.60 (league 1.16)

Durango
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cimarrones 0 10.5% 16.8% 13.5% 7.2% 2.9% 0.9%
1 6.8% 10.9% 8.8% 4.7% 1.9% 0.6%
2 2.2% 3.6% 2.9% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.9% · Draw 24.7% · Away win 59.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1