Sat, Mar 28 2026 • 17:00 •
Unidad Deportiva Minera Fresnillo
Expected Goals
3.17 (league 1.53)
1.96 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 52.0% | 15.8% | 20.7% |
best score tips
3 - 1
6.2%
3 - 2
6.0%
2 - 1
5.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Reboceros La Piedad | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mineros de Fresnillo | 0 | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 3.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 3.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | |
| 4 | 2.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | |
| 5 | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mineros de Fresnillo | Reboceros La Piedad |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 60% |
| Attack | 64% | 100% |
| Defense | 36% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 14 | 2.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 15 | 3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
73%
FT probability
3.5+
52%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mineros de Fresnillo | Reboceros La Piedad | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 58% | 25% | 42% | 33% | 18% | 26% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 17% | 0% | 9% | 4% |
| Loses | 42% | 42% | 42% | 67% | 73% | 70% |
Form: Mineros de Fresnillo: DLLLWLLWWLWWLWWLDDWLWLWD • Reboceros La Piedad: LLLLLLWLWWDLLLLLLLWWWLL
League goals
| Metric | Mineros de Fresnillo | Reboceros La Piedad | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 13 | 34 | 21 | 13 | 34 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 23 | 16 | 39 | 28 | 30 | 58 |
| GA avg | 1.9 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 2.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mineros de Fresnillo | Reboceros La Piedad | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 71% | 70% | 91% |
| 1.5 | 46% | 50% | 39% | 78% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 25% | 26% | 52% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 8% | 9% | 17% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 4% | 9% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mineros de Fresnillo | Reboceros La Piedad | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mineros de Fresnillo | Reboceros La Piedad |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mineros de Fresnillo | Reboceros La Piedad |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 7 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-3 | 3-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-6 | 3-0 | 0-5 | 6-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 6 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mineros de Fresnillo | Reboceros La Piedad |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 68% | 32% |
| Poisson Distribution | 62% | 38% |
| H2h | 67% | 33% |
| Goals | 58% | 42% |
| Total | 55.3% | 44.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Mineros de Fresnillo or draw and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Mineros de Fresnillo = 3.17 (league 1.53), Reboceros La Piedad = 1.96 (league 1.16)
| Reboceros La Piedad | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mineros de Fresnillo | 0 | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 3.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 3.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | |
| 4 | 2.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | |
| 5 | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.0% · Draw 15.8% · Away win 20.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1