Sat, Mar 28 2026 • 03:00 •
Estadio Arena Cora
Expected Goals
2.35 (league 1.53)
0.77 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 69.3% | 16.9% | 10.5% |
best score tips
2 - 0
12.2%
1 - 0
10.4%
3 - 0
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
| UA Zacatecas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tigres de Alica | 0 | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.4% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.2% | 9.4% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.5% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.6% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Tigres de Alica | UA Zacatecas |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 27% |
| Attack | 54% | 46% |
| Defense | 54% | 15% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
82%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Tigres de Alica | UA Zacatecas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 67% | 58% | 63% | 33% | 25% | 29% |
| Draws | 8% | 17% | 13% | 25% | 8% | 17% |
| Loses | 25% | 25% | 25% | 42% | 67% | 54% |
Form: Tigres de Alica: DWWLWLLLLWWWWWWWWWWDLWDW • UA Zacatecas: LLDWWLLLLLWLDLWDWWLLLDWL
League goals
| Metric | Tigres de Alica | UA Zacatecas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 24 | 18 | 42 | 15 | 11 | 26 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 12 | 11 | 23 | 23 | 22 | 45 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Tigres de Alica | UA Zacatecas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 92% | 71% | 58% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 42% | 25% | 29% | 54% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 0% | 17% | 38% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 0% | 4% | 21% |
| 4.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Tigres de Alica | UA Zacatecas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Tigres de Alica | UA Zacatecas |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Tigres de Alica | UA Zacatecas |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 10 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 1-4 | 3-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-1 | 0-5 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Tigres de Alica | UA Zacatecas |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 65% | 35% |
| Poisson Distribution | 76% | 24% |
| H2h | 67% | 33% |
| Goals | 69% | 31% |
| Total | 66.3% | 33.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Tigres de Alica or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Tigres de Alica = 2.35 (league 1.53), UA Zacatecas = 0.77 (league 1.17)
| UA Zacatecas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tigres de Alica | 0 | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.4% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.2% | 9.4% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.5% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.6% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.3% · Draw 16.9% · Away win 10.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1