Sun, Mar 29 2026 • 20:30 •
Unidad Deportiva Chapultepec
Expected Goals
2.60 (league 1.53)
0.67 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 73.9% | 13.9% | 7.3% |
best score tips
2 - 0
12.8%
3 - 0
11.1%
1 - 0
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Colima | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Guerreros | 0 | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.8% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.8% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.1% | 7.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.2% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Guerreros | Colima |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 27% |
| Attack | 46% | 54% |
| Defense | 23% | 23% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Guerreros | Colima | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 45% | 17% | 30% | 17% | 9% | 13% |
| Draws | 27% | 17% | 22% | 17% | 9% | 13% |
| Loses | 27% | 67% | 48% | 67% | 82% | 74% |
Form: Guerreros: LWLDLWLLWWLWWLLWDDLDLDL • Colima: LLLLLWWLLDLLLLLDLLLLWLD
League goals
| Metric | Guerreros | Colima | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 15 | 36 | 13 | 7 | 20 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 14 | 26 | 40 | 22 | 23 | 45 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Guerreros | Colima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 91% | 43% | 87% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 39% | 22% | 52% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 26% | 17% | 30% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 9% | 4% | 17% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 9% | 0% | 9% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Guerreros | Colima | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
Penalties
| Metric | Guerreros | Colima |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 50.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 2 | 50.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Guerreros | Colima |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-4 | 4-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 4-5 | 5-0 | 1-5 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Guerreros | Colima |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 46% | 54% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 79% | 21% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 55.0% | 45.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Guerreros or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Guerreros = 2.60 (league 1.53), Colima = 0.67 (league 1.16)
| Colima | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Guerreros | 0 | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.8% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.8% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.1% | 7.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.2% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.9% · Draw 13.9% · Away win 7.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1