Sat, Apr 11 2026 • 02:00 •
Estadio Francisco Zarco
Expected Goals
2.28 (league 1.54)
0.76 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 68.7% | 17.4% | 10.9% |
best score tips
2 - 0
12.4%
1 - 0
10.9%
2 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Mineros de Fresnillo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Durango | 0 | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.9% | 8.3% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.4% | 9.5% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.4% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Durango | Mineros de Fresnillo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 67% |
| Attack | 83% | 72% |
| Defense | 94% | 61% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 13 | 2.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Durango | Mineros de Fresnillo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 75% | 85% | 80% | 62% | 25% | 44% |
| Draws | 8% | 8% | 8% | 0% | 33% | 16% |
| Loses | 17% | 8% | 12% | 38% | 42% | 40% |
DurangoWWLWWWLWWWWDWWWWLWWWWWWDW
Mineros de FresnilloDLLLWLLWWLWWLWWLDDWLWLWDW
League goals
| Metric | Durango | Mineros de Fresnillo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 32 | 37 | 69 | 27 | 13 | 40 |
| GF avg | 2.7 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 9 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 16 | 41 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Durango | Mineros de Fresnillo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 48% | 76% | 72% |
| 1.5 | 72% | 8% | 48% | 52% |
| 2.5 | 52% | 4% | 24% | 24% |
| 3.5 | 32% | 0% | 4% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 24% | 0% | 4% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Durango | Mineros de Fresnillo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 8 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Durango | Mineros de Fresnillo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Durango | Mineros de Fresnillo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 1-6 | 6-2 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 1-0 | 1-6 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 6 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 6 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Durango | Mineros de Fresnillo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 88% | 13% |
| Poisson Distribution | 77% | 23% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 70% | 30% |
| Total | 69.5% | 30.7% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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