Sat, Apr 11 2026 • 17:00 •
Estadio Club Deportivo Universidad de Guadalajara
Expected Goals
1.87 (league 1.54)
0.69 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 64.1% | 21.5% | 13.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.4%
2 - 0
13.5%
1 - 1
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Tritons Vallarta | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Leones Negros | 0 | 7.7% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.4% | 10.0% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.5% | 9.3% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.4% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Leones Negros | Tritons Vallarta |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 67% |
| Attack | 100% | 45% |
| Defense | 45% | 82% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
73%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Leones Negros | Tritons Vallarta | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 75% | 46% | 60% | 85% | 33% | 60% |
| Draws | 8% | 8% | 8% | 0% | 8% | 4% |
| Loses | 17% | 46% | 32% | 15% | 58% | 36% |
Leones NegrosDLDWWLWWLWWWLLWLWWLWWWLWW
Tritons VallartaWWWWLLWWLWLLWWWLLWLWWDLWW
League goals
| Metric | Leones Negros | Tritons Vallarta | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 20 | 41 | 22 | 12 | 34 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 9 | 17 | 26 | 7 | 19 | 26 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Leones Negros | Tritons Vallarta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 72% | 72% | 76% | 48% |
| 1.5 | 56% | 20% | 40% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 24% | 8% | 12% | 16% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 4% | 4% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Leones Negros | Tritons Vallarta | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 13 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Leones Negros | Tritons Vallarta |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Leones Negros | Tritons Vallarta |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-4 | 5-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-1 | 0-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Leones Negros | Tritons Vallarta |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55% | 45% |
| Att | 69% | 31% |
| Def | 25% | 75% |
| Poisson Distribution | 74% | 26% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 53.8% | 46.2% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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