Mon, Oct 20 2025 • 18:00 • The Proctor Cars Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.46 (league 2.17) 1.35 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.6% 28.2% 58.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
22.0%
0 - 0
16.3%
0 - 2
14.9%
Score & goals probability table
Bristol City U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Derby County U21 0 16.3% 22.0% 14.9% 6.7% 2.3% 0.6%
1 7.5% 10.2% 6.9% 3.1% 1.0% 0.3%
2 1.7% 2.4% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDerby County U21Bristol City U21
Played11
Form0%33%
Attack4%4%
Defense91%96%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 11 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 21 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

36%
FT probability

2.5+

25%
FT probability

3.5+

18%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Derby County U21 Bristol City U21
HATHAT
Played011101
Wins—0%0%0%—0%
Draws—0%0%100%—100%
Loses—100%100%0%—0%

Form: Derby County U21: L • Bristol City U21: D

League goals

Metric Derby County U21 Bristol City U21
HATHAT
GF total011101
GF avg0.01.01.01.00.01.0
GA total022101
GA avg0.02.02.01.00.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDerby County U21Bristol City U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%100%
1.50%100%0%0%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDerby County U21Bristol City U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricDerby County U21Bristol City U21
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricDerby County U21Bristol City U21
Wins00
Draws01
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins————
Biggest losses—2-1——
Goals For0110
Goals Against0210

Model comparison

MetricDerby County U21Bristol City U21
Form0%100%
Att50%50%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total41.5%58.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Bristol City U21

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.94 @ 188Bet
Draw3.90 @ Bet365
Away3.29 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.39 @ Pinnacle
No3.00 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.00 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Derby County U21 = 0.46 (league 2.17), Bristol City U21 = 1.35 (league 1.48)

Bristol City U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Derby County U21 0 16.3% 22.0% 14.9% 6.7% 2.3% 0.6%
1 7.5% 10.2% 6.9% 3.1% 1.0% 0.3%
2 1.7% 2.4% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.6% · Draw 28.2% · Away win 58.9%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1