Fri, Nov 21 2025 • 19:00 • The Proctor Cars Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.70 (league 2.16) 1.44 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.3% 11.4% 10.1%
best score tips
3 - 1
7.1%
4 - 1
6.6%
2 - 1
5.8%
Score & goals probability table
Stoke City U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Derby County U21 0 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 2.2% 3.1% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
2 4.0% 5.8% 4.2% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.9% 7.1% 5.1% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3%
4 4.6% 6.6% 4.7% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
5 3.4% 4.9% 3.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDerby County U21Stoke City U21
Played22
Form50%17%
Attack50%11%
Defense78%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 4.52 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 23 | 1.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

9.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

70%
FT probability

BTTS

100%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Derby County U21 Stoke City U21
HATHAT
Played112112
Wins100%0%50%0%0%0%
Draws0%0%0%0%100%50%
Loses0%100%50%100%0%50%

Form: Derby County U21: LW • Stoke City U21: DL

League goals

Metric Derby County U21 Stoke City U21
HATHAT
GF total819112
GF avg8.01.04.51.01.01.0
GA total224213
GA avg2.02.02.02.01.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDerby County U21Stoke City U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%100%
1.550%100%0%50%
2.550%0%0%0%
3.550%0%0%0%
4.550%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDerby County U21Stoke City U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricDerby County U21Stoke City U21
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Total11

Streaks

MetricDerby County U21Stoke City U21
Wins00
Draws01
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins8-2———
Biggest losses—2-11-2—
Goals For8111
Goals Against2221

Model comparison

MetricDerby County U21Stoke City U21
Form75%25%
Att82%18%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h0%100%
Goals23%77%
Total60.0%40.0%

Advice: Combo Winner : Derby County U21 and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.07 @ Betano
Draw3.94 @ Pinnacle
Away3.02 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.45 @ Unibet
No2.92 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.78 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Derby County U21 = 3.70 (league 2.16), Stoke City U21 = 1.44 (league 1.38)

Stoke City U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Derby County U21 0 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 2.2% 3.1% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
2 4.0% 5.8% 4.2% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.9% 7.1% 5.1% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3%
4 4.6% 6.6% 4.7% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
5 3.4% 4.9% 3.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.3% · Draw 11.4% · Away win 10.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1