Fri, Nov 28 2025 • 19:00 • Lancashire FA County Ground
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.85 (league 2.16) 3.61 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.0% 13.4% 54.9%
best score tips
1 - 3
6.2%
2 - 3
5.7%
1 - 4
5.6%
Score & goals probability table
Cardiff City U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burnley U21 0 0.4% 1.5% 2.8% 3.3% 3.0% 2.2%
1 0.8% 2.8% 5.1% 6.2% 5.6% 4.0%
2 0.7% 2.6% 4.7% 5.7% 5.2% 3.7%
3 0.4% 1.6% 2.9% 3.5% 3.2% 2.3%
4 0.2% 0.7% 1.3% 1.6% 1.5% 1.1%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBurnley U21Cardiff City U21
Played32
Form67%17%
Attack33%17%
Defense67%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 23 | 1.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 24 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

80%
FT probability

3.5+

57%
FT probability

BTTS

96%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Burnley U21 Cardiff City U21
HATHAT
Played213112
Wins50%100%67%0%0%0%
Draws0%0%0%0%100%50%
Loses50%0%33%100%0%50%

Form: Burnley U21: WWL • Cardiff City U21: LD

League goals

Metric Burnley U21 Cardiff City U21
HATHAT
GF total426123
GF avg2.02.02.01.02.01.5
GA total516224
GA avg2.51.02.02.02.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBurnley U21Cardiff City U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%100%
1.567%67%50%100%
2.533%33%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBurnley U21Cardiff City U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricBurnley U21Cardiff City U21
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 50.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 50.00%
Total02

Streaks

MetricBurnley U21Cardiff City U21
Wins20
Draws00
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-2——
Biggest losses1-3—1-2—
Goals For3212
Goals Against3122

Model comparison

MetricBurnley U21Cardiff City U21
Form86%14%
Att67%33%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h91%9%
Goals67%33%
Total65.2%34.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Burnley U21 or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.02 @ Betano
Draw4.35 @ Pinnacle
Away2.90 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.40 @ Unibet
No3.20 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.38 @ Unibet
Under 2.53.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Burnley U21 = 1.85 (league 2.16), Cardiff City U21 = 3.61 (league 1.38)

Cardiff City U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burnley U21 0 0.4% 1.5% 2.8% 3.3% 3.0% 2.2%
1 0.8% 2.8% 5.1% 6.2% 5.6% 4.0%
2 0.7% 2.6% 4.7% 5.7% 5.2% 3.7%
3 0.4% 1.6% 2.9% 3.5% 3.2% 2.3%
4 0.2% 0.7% 1.3% 1.6% 1.5% 1.1%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.0% · Draw 13.4% · Away win 54.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1