Tue, Dec 16 2025 • 19:00 • Robins High Performance Centre
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.92 (league 2.17) 0.68 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.6% 34.9% 25.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
20.2%
1 - 0
18.7%
0 - 1
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
Derby County U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bristol City U21 0 20.2% 13.7% 4.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.7% 12.6% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.6% 5.8% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.7% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBristol City U21Derby County U21
Played43
Form8%44%
Attack29%52%
Defense33%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.511 | 3.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 3.56 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

79%
FT probability

3.5+

56%
FT probability

BTTS

96%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bristol City U21 Derby County U21
HATHAT
Played134213
Wins0%0%0%50%0%33%
Draws100%0%25%50%0%33%
Loses0%100%75%0%100%33%

Form: Bristol City U21: DLLL • Derby County U21: LWD

League goals

Metric Bristol City U21 Derby County U21
HATHAT
GF total15610111
GF avg1.01.71.55.01.03.7
GA total11314426
GA avg1.04.33.52.02.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBristol City U21Derby County U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%100%
1.550%75%67%100%
2.50%50%33%0%
3.50%25%33%0%
4.50%25%33%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBristol City U21Derby County U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricBristol City U21Derby County U21
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricBristol City U21Derby County U21
Wins01
Draws10
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——8-2—
Biggest losses—8-2—2-1
Goals For1281
Goals Against1822

Model comparison

MetricBristol City U21Derby County U21
Form20%80%
Att35%65%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h0%100%
Goals20%80%
Total33.0%67.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Derby County U21 and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.33 @ 10Bet
Draw4.20 @ Bet365
Away2.78 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.36 @ Pinnacle
No3.30 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.41 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bristol City U21 = 0.92 (league 2.17), Derby County U21 = 0.68 (league 1.48)

Derby County U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bristol City U21 0 20.2% 13.7% 4.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.7% 12.6% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.6% 5.8% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.7% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.6% · Draw 34.9% · Away win 25.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1