Mon, Dec 22 2025 • 19:00 • Vitality Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
6.47 (league 2.17) 0.34 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.8% 0.5% 0.1%
best score tips
5 - 0
10.4%
4 - 0
8.1%
3 - 0
5.0%
Score & goals probability table
Birmingham City U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
AFC Bournemouth U21 0 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 2.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.0% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.1% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 10.4% 3.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAFC Bournemouth U21Birmingham City U21
Played45
Form58%7%
Attack85%23%
Defense38%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 215 | 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

62%
FT probability

BTTS

86%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AFC Bournemouth U21 Birmingham City U21
HATHAT
Played134325
Wins100%33%50%0%0%0%
Draws0%33%25%33%0%20%
Loses0%33%25%67%100%80%

Form: AFC Bournemouth U21: LWDW • Birmingham City U21: LLDLL

League goals

Metric AFC Bournemouth U21 Birmingham City U21
HATHAT
GF total4711213
GF avg4.02.32.80.70.50.6
GA total1788715
GA avg1.02.32.02.73.53.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAFC Bournemouth U21Birmingham City U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%40%100%
1.575%75%20%100%
2.550%25%0%60%
3.550%0%0%20%
4.50%0%0%20%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAFC Bournemouth U21Birmingham City U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000213

Penalties

MetricAFC Bournemouth U21Birmingham City U21
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Total11

Streaks

MetricAFC Bournemouth U21Birmingham City U21
Wins10
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-13-4——
Biggest losses—2-10-35-1
Goals For4421
Goals Against1335

Model comparison

MetricAFC Bournemouth U21Birmingham City U21
Form88%13%
Att79%21%
Def65%35%
Poisson Distribution96%4%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total71.3%28.8%

Advice: Combo Winner : AFC Bournemouth U21 and +2.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.68 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.50 @ Bet365
Away4.20 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.35 @ Pinnacle
No3.30 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.27 @ Betano
Under 2.53.80 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): AFC Bournemouth U21 = 6.47 (league 2.17), Birmingham City U21 = 0.34 (league 1.48)

Birmingham City U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
AFC Bournemouth U21 0 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 2.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.0% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.1% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 10.4% 3.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.8% · Draw 0.5% · Away win 0.1%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1