Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 08:00 • Mong Kok Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.05 (league 1.57) 1.12 (league 1.79)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
1.6% 32.8% 65.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
34.8%
0 - 0
31.0%
0 - 2
19.5%
Score & goals probability table
Kitchee
0 1 2 3 4 5
Warriors 0 31.0% 34.8% 19.5% 7.3% 2.0% 0.5%
1 1.6% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWarriorsKitchee
Played22
Form67%100%
Attack45%18%
Defense82%100%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 2.52 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 10 | 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Warriors Kitchee
HATHAT
Played112022
Wins0%100%50%—100%100%
Draws100%0%50%—0%0%
Loses0%0%0%—0%0%

Form: Warriors: DW • Kitchee: WW

League goals

Metric Warriors Kitchee
HATHAT
GF total235022
GF avg2.03.02.50.01.01.0
GA total202000
GA avg2.00.01.00.00.00.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWarriorsKitchee
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%100%0%
1.5100%50%0%0%
2.550%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWarriorsKitchee
HATHAT
Clean sheets011022
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricWarriorsKitchee
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricWarriorsKitchee
Wins02
Draws10
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-3—0-1
Biggest losses————
Goals For2301
Goals Against2000

Model comparison

MetricWarriorsKitchee
Form40%60%
Att71%29%
Def0%100%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h93%7%
Goals73%27%
Total69.3%30.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Warriors or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Warriors = 0.05 (league 1.57), Kitchee = 1.12 (league 1.79)

Kitchee
0 1 2 3 4 5
Warriors 0 31.0% 34.8% 19.5% 7.3% 2.0% 0.5%
1 1.6% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 1.6% · Draw 32.8% · Away win 65.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1