Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 10:00 • Mong Kok Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.14 (league 1.59) 0.94 (league 1.80)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.5% 19.7% 15.5%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.5%
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 0
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Hong Kong FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Warriors 0 4.6% 4.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
1 9.8% 9.3% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.5% 9.9% 4.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.5% 7.1% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.0% 3.8% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.7% 1.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWarriorsHong Kong FC
Played45
Form58%20%
Attack44%11%
Defense72%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 22 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 1.310 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Warriors Hong Kong FC
HATHAT
Played314336
Wins33%100%50%0%33%17%
Draws33%0%25%0%0%0%
Loses33%0%25%100%67%83%

Form: Warriors: DWLW • Hong Kong FC: LLLLLW

League goals

Metric Warriors Hong Kong FC
HATHAT
GF total538033
GF avg1.73.02.00.01.00.5
GA total5056612
GA avg1.70.01.32.02.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWarriorsHong Kong FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%33%100%
1.575%50%17%67%
2.525%25%0%33%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWarriorsHong Kong FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score000314

Penalties

MetricWarriorsHong Kong FC
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricWarriorsHong Kong FC
Wins10
Draws10
Losses15

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-3—1-2
Biggest losses2-3—0-33-0
Goals For2302
Goals Against3033

Model comparison

MetricWarriorsHong Kong FC
Form70%30%
Att80%20%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h100%0%
Goals94%6%
Total76.0%24.0%

Advice: Winner : Warriors

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.08 @ Bet365
Draw15.57 @ Pinnacle
Away46.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.28 @ Bet365
Under 2.54.00 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.80 @ Betfair
No1.46 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Warriors = 2.14 (league 1.59), Hong Kong FC = 0.94 (league 1.80)

Hong Kong FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Warriors 0 4.6% 4.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
1 9.8% 9.3% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.5% 9.9% 4.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.5% 7.1% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.0% 3.8% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.7% 1.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.5% · Draw 19.7% · Away win 15.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1