Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 08:30 • Hong Kong Football Club Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.17 (league 1.57) 2.95 (league 1.79)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
1.0% 6.9% 84.1%
best score tips
0 - 2
19.1%
0 - 3
18.8%
0 - 4
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
Kitchee
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hong Kong FC 0 4.4% 13.0% 19.1% 18.8% 13.9% 8.2%
1 0.8% 2.2% 3.3% 3.3% 2.4% 1.4%
2 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHong Kong FCKitchee
Played55
Form27%87%
Attack38%100%
Defense0%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 115 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)15 | 36 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hong Kong FC Kitchee
HATHAT
Played6410279
Wins0%25%10%50%86%78%
Draws17%0%10%50%14%22%
Loses83%75%80%0%0%0%

Form: Hong Kong FC: LLLLLWLLDL • Kitchee: WWWDDWWWW

League goals

Metric Hong Kong FC Kitchee
HATHAT
GF total24641721
GF avg0.31.00.62.02.42.3
GA total131326369
GA avg2.23.32.61.50.91.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHong Kong FCKitchee
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.540%100%100%56%
1.520%70%56%33%
2.50%40%44%11%
3.50%20%22%0%
4.50%10%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHong Kong FCKitchee
HATHAT
Clean sheets000134
Failed to score516000

Penalties

MetricHong Kong FCKitchee
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricHong Kong FCKitchee
Wins13
Draws12
Losses50

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-21-00-5
Biggest losses0-47-1——
Goals For2235
Goals Against4732

Model comparison

MetricHong Kong FCKitchee
Form24%76%
Att25%75%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution6%94%
H2h0%100%
Goals17%83%
Total20.2%79.8%

Advice: Combo Winner : Kitchee and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home36.00 @ Betfair
Draw14.35 @ Pinnacle
Away1.07 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes3.05 @ Unibet
No1.50 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.28 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.80 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hong Kong FC = 0.17 (league 1.57), Kitchee = 2.95 (league 1.79)

Kitchee
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hong Kong FC 0 4.4% 13.0% 19.1% 18.8% 13.9% 8.2%
1 0.8% 2.2% 3.3% 3.3% 2.4% 1.4%
2 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 1.0% · Draw 6.9% · Away win 84.1%

vtt 3 , vtd1