Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 10:00 • Mong Kok Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.59 (league 1.62) 0.58 (league 1.73)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.0% 3.4% 1.2%
best score tips
4 - 0
10.5%
5 - 0
9.7%
3 - 0
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Hong Kong FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kitchee 0 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 2.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.0% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.2% 5.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.5% 6.1% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 9.7% 5.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKitcheeHong Kong FC
Played55
Form100%0%
Attack72%22%
Defense83%28%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.613 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

71%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kitchee Hong Kong FC
HATHAT
Played59148715
Wins80%89%86%0%14%7%
Draws20%11%14%13%0%7%
Loses0%0%0%88%86%87%

Form: Kitchee: WWWDDWWWWWWWWW • Hong Kong FC: LLLLLWLLDLLLLLL

League goals

Metric Kitchee Hong Kong FC
HATHAT
GF total1222343710
GF avg2.42.42.40.41.00.7
GA total5712172239
GA avg1.00.80.92.13.12.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKitcheeHong Kong FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%47%100%
1.564%29%20%80%
2.550%7%0%33%
3.521%0%0%20%
4.57%0%0%13%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKitcheeHong Kong FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets347000
Failed to score000628

Penalties

MetricKitcheeHong Kong FC
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricKitcheeHong Kong FC
Wins31
Draws21
Losses05

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-5—1-2
Biggest losses——0-47-1
Goals For4522
Goals Against3247

Model comparison

MetricKitcheeHong Kong FC
Form100%0%
Att76%24%
Def81%19%
Poisson Distribution88%12%
H2h100%0%
Goals79%21%
Total81.0%19.0%

Advice: Combo Winner : Kitchee and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.06 @ Bet365
Draw15.92 @ Pinnacle
Away41.00 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.54.00 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.75 @ Betfair
No1.47 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kitchee = 4.59 (league 1.62), Hong Kong FC = 0.58 (league 1.73)

Hong Kong FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kitchee 0 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 2.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.0% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.2% 5.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.5% 6.1% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 9.7% 5.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.0% · Draw 3.4% · Away win 1.2%

vtt 2 , vtd1