Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 08:30 • Hong Kong Football Club Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.30 (league 1.60) 3.06 (league 1.72)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
1.8% 7.5% 81.7%
best score tips
0 - 3
16.6%
0 - 2
16.3%
0 - 4
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Warriors
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hong Kong FC 0 3.5% 10.7% 16.3% 16.6% 12.7% 7.7%
1 1.0% 3.2% 4.9% 5.0% 3.8% 2.3%
2 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHong Kong FCWarriors
Played55
Form0%67%
Attack45%100%
Defense0%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 115 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)16 | 3.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hong Kong FC Warriors
HATHAT
Played88168614
Wins0%13%6%63%67%64%
Draws13%0%6%25%17%21%
Loses88%88%88%13%17%14%

Form: Hong Kong FC: LLLLLWLLDLLLLLLL • Warriors: DWLWWDWWWWWLDW

League goals

Metric Hong Kong FC Warriors
HATHAT
GF total3912251540
GF avg0.41.10.83.12.52.9
GA total1727449716
GA avg2.13.42.81.11.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHong Kong FCWarriors
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%93%71%
1.525%81%71%29%
2.50%38%36%14%
3.50%25%29%0%
4.50%19%21%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHong Kong FCWarriors
HATHAT
Clean sheets000314
Failed to score628011

Penalties

MetricHong Kong FCWarriors
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricHong Kong FCWarriors
Wins15
Draws11
Losses51

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-28-11-4
Biggest losses0-47-12-31-0
Goals For2285
Goals Against4733

Model comparison

MetricHong Kong FCWarriors
Form0%100%
Att25%75%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution7%93%
H2h0%100%
Goals10%90%
Total15.5%84.5%

Advice: Combo Winner : Warriors and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home26.00 @ 10Bet
Draw11.25 @ Pinnacle
Away1.11 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.25 @ 10Bet
Under 2.54.50 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.35 @ 10Bet
No1.85 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hong Kong FC = 0.30 (league 1.60), Warriors = 3.06 (league 1.72)

Warriors
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hong Kong FC 0 3.5% 10.7% 16.3% 16.6% 12.7% 7.7%
1 1.0% 3.2% 4.9% 5.0% 3.8% 2.3%
2 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 1.8% · Draw 7.5% · Away win 81.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1