Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 13:00 • Victor Tedesco Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.61 (league 1.64) 0.51 (league 1.75)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.3% 43.5% 25.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
32.5%
1 - 0
19.8%
0 - 1
16.7%
Score & goals probability table
Balzan FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mgarr United 0 32.5% 16.7% 4.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.8% 10.2% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 6.0% 3.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMgarr UnitedBalzan FC
Played33
Form67%44%
Attack25%20%
Defense95%85%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 1.74 | 1.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.33 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mgarr United Balzan FC
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins100%50%67%0%100%33%
Draws0%0%0%50%0%33%
Loses0%50%33%50%0%33%

Form: Mgarr United: WWL • Balzan FC: LWD

League goals

Metric Mgarr United Balzan FC
HATHAT
GF total145134
GF avg1.02.01.70.53.01.3
GA total011213
GA avg0.00.50.31.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMgarr UnitedBalzan FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%33%67%100%
1.533%0%33%0%
2.533%0%33%0%
3.533%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMgarr UnitedBalzan FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricMgarr UnitedBalzan FC
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMgarr UnitedBalzan FC
Wins21
Draws00
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-4—1-3
Biggest losses—1-00-1—
Goals For1413
Goals Against0111

Model comparison

MetricMgarr UnitedBalzan FC
Form60%40%
Att56%44%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total63.7%36.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Mgarr United or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.50 @ 10Bet
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away1.78 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ Superbet
No1.73 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mgarr United = 0.61 (league 1.64), Balzan FC = 0.51 (league 1.75)

Balzan FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mgarr United 0 32.5% 16.7% 4.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.8% 10.2% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 6.0% 3.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.3% · Draw 43.5% · Away win 25.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1