Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 15:30 • MFA Centenary Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.93 (league 1.62) 8.06 (league 1.74)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.2% 0.5% 17.9%
best score tips
0 - 5
3.5%
1 - 5
3.3%
0 - 4
2.2%
Score & goals probability table
Balzan FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zurrieq 0 0.0% 0.1% 0.4% 1.1% 2.2% 3.5%
1 0.0% 0.1% 0.4% 1.0% 2.0% 3.3%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.5% 0.9% 1.5%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.5%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricZurrieqBalzan FC
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack36%55%
Defense50%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.612 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

61%
FT probability

BTTS

91%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Zurrieq Balzan FC
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins0%67%40%33%100%60%
Draws0%0%0%33%0%20%
Loses100%33%60%33%0%20%

Form: Zurrieq: WLLLW • Balzan FC: LWDWW

League goals

Metric Zurrieq Balzan FC
HATHAT
GF total3585712
GF avg1.51.71.61.73.52.4
GA total8311224
GA avg4.01.02.20.71.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineZurrieqBalzan FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%80%80%80%
1.540%60%60%0%
2.520%40%60%0%
3.50%20%40%0%
4.50%20%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricZurrieqBalzan FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricZurrieqBalzan FC
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricZurrieqBalzan FC
Wins11
Draws01
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-34-01-4
Biggest losses1-52-10-1—
Goals For2344
Goals Against5211

Model comparison

MetricZurrieqBalzan FC
Form38%63%
Att40%60%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution10%90%
H2h0%100%
Goals33%67%
Total29.6%70.6%

Advice: Combo Winner : Balzan FC and +2.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home9.10 @ 1xBet
Draw4.89 @ Pinnacle
Away1.33 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.10 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.01 @ Marathonbet
No1.68 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Zurrieq = 0.93 (league 1.62), Balzan FC = 8.06 (league 1.74)

Balzan FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zurrieq 0 0.0% 0.1% 0.4% 1.1% 2.2% 3.5%
1 0.0% 0.1% 0.4% 1.0% 2.0% 3.3%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.5% 0.9% 1.5%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.5%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.2% · Draw 0.5% · Away win 17.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1