Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 15:30 • MFA Centenary Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.53 (league 1.63) 2.89 (league 1.73)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.7% 16.2% 58.2%
best score tips
1 - 2
7.7%
1 - 3
7.4%
2 - 2
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
Santa Lucía
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mgarr United 0 1.2% 3.5% 5.0% 4.8% 3.5% 2.0%
1 1.8% 5.3% 7.7% 7.4% 5.4% 3.1%
2 1.4% 4.1% 5.9% 5.7% 4.1% 2.4%
3 0.7% 2.1% 3.0% 2.9% 2.1% 1.2%
4 0.3% 0.8% 1.2% 1.1% 0.8% 0.5%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMgarr UnitedSanta Lucía
Played55
Form60%47%
Attack64%100%
Defense55%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.414 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

74%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mgarr United Santa Lucía
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%67%60%33%50%40%
Draws0%0%0%33%0%20%
Loses50%33%40%33%50%40%

Form: Mgarr United: WWLLW • Santa Lucía: WLDWL

League goals

Metric Mgarr United Santa Lucía
HATHAT
GF total2579514
GF avg1.01.71.43.02.52.8
GA total415358
GA avg2.00.31.01.02.51.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMgarr UnitedSanta Lucía
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%40%60%80%
1.520%20%60%60%
2.520%20%40%20%
3.520%20%40%0%
4.50%0%40%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMgarr UnitedSanta Lucía
HATHAT
Clean sheets123101
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricMgarr UnitedSanta Lucía
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricMgarr UnitedSanta Lucía
Wins21
Draws01
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-47-03-5
Biggest losses1-41-00-12-0
Goals For1475
Goals Against4123

Model comparison

MetricMgarr UnitedSanta Lucía
Form56%44%
Att33%67%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h29%71%
Goals44%56%
Total43.2%56.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Santa Lucía and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.78 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.44 @ Pinnacle
Away2.24 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.90 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.66 @ Marathonbet
No2.05 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mgarr United = 1.53 (league 1.63), Santa Lucía = 2.89 (league 1.73)

Santa Lucía
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mgarr United 0 1.2% 3.5% 5.0% 4.8% 3.5% 2.0%
1 1.8% 5.3% 7.7% 7.4% 5.4% 3.1%
2 1.4% 4.1% 5.9% 5.7% 4.1% 2.4%
3 0.7% 2.1% 3.0% 2.9% 2.1% 1.2%
4 0.3% 0.8% 1.2% 1.1% 0.8% 0.5%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.7% · Draw 16.2% · Away win 58.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1