Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 13:00 • Victor Tedesco Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.24 (league 1.64) 2.63 (league 1.75)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
2.0% 9.9% 83.0%
best score tips
0 - 2
19.7%
0 - 3
17.2%
0 - 1
15.0%
Score & goals probability table
Mgarr United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Marsa 0 5.7% 15.0% 19.7% 17.2% 11.3% 5.9%
1 1.4% 3.6% 4.7% 4.1% 2.7% 1.4%
2 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMarsaMgarr United
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack35%35%
Defense59%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Marsa Mgarr United
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins0%33%17%33%67%50%
Draws33%33%33%33%0%17%
Loses67%33%50%33%33%33%

Form: Marsa: LWLDDL • Mgarr United: WWLLWD

League goals

Metric Marsa Mgarr United
HATHAT
GF total4375510
GF avg1.31.01.21.71.71.7
GA total8210718
GA avg2.70.71.72.30.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMarsaMgarr United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%83%83%50%
1.533%50%33%33%
2.50%33%33%33%
3.50%0%17%17%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMarsaMgarr United
HATHAT
Clean sheets011123
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricMarsaMgarr United
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMarsaMgarr United
Wins12
Draws20
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-21-00-4
Biggest losses1-31-01-41-0
Goals For2234
Goals Against3141

Model comparison

MetricMarsaMgarr United
Form42%58%
Att50%50%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution10%90%
H2h80%20%
Goals67%33%
Total50.3%49.7%

Advice: Double chance : Marsa or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.22 @ 1xBet
Draw4.29 @ Pinnacle
Away2.10 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.10 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.66 @ Marathonbet
No2.05 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Marsa = 0.24 (league 1.64), Mgarr United = 2.63 (league 1.75)

Mgarr United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Marsa 0 5.7% 15.0% 19.7% 17.2% 11.3% 5.9%
1 1.4% 3.6% 4.7% 4.1% 2.7% 1.4%
2 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 2.0% · Draw 9.9% · Away win 83.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1