Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 18:00 • MFA Centenary Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.13 (league 1.63) 0.58 (league 1.73)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
76.9% 9.4% 4.0%
best score tips
3 - 0
12.5%
2 - 0
12.0%
4 - 0
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Swieqi United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santa Lucía 0 2.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.7% 4.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.0% 6.9% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.5% 7.3% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.8% 5.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 6.1% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSanta LucíaSwieqi United
Played55
Form33%67%
Attack53%42%
Defense42%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

73%
FT probability

3.5+

52%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Santa Lucía Swieqi United
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins33%33%33%67%67%67%
Draws33%33%33%33%0%17%
Loses33%33%33%0%33%17%

Form: Santa Lucía: WLDWLD • Swieqi United: WDWWLW

League goals

Metric Santa Lucía Swieqi United
HATHAT
GF total98177310
GF avg3.02.72.82.31.01.7
GA total3811459
GA avg1.02.71.81.31.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSanta LucíaSwieqi United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%83%83%83%
1.567%67%50%33%
2.550%33%33%17%
3.533%0%0%17%
4.533%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSanta LucíaSwieqi United
HATHAT
Clean sheets101011
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricSanta LucíaSwieqi United
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 50.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 50.00%
Total22

Streaks

MetricSanta LucíaSwieqi United
Wins12
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-03-53-11-2
Biggest losses0-12-04-0
Goals For7532
Goals Against2324

Model comparison

MetricSanta LucíaSwieqi United
Form33%67%
Att56%44%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution84%16%
H2h50%50%
Goals53%47%
Total53.0%47.0%

Advice: Double chance : Santa Lucía or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.33 @ 1xBet
Draw4.07 @ Pinnacle
Away1.95 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.79 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.20 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ 1xBet
No1.91 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Santa Lucía = 3.13 (league 1.63), Swieqi United = 0.58 (league 1.73)

Swieqi United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santa Lucía 0 2.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.7% 4.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.0% 6.9% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.5% 7.3% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.8% 5.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 6.1% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.9% · Draw 9.4% · Away win 4.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1