Tue, Dec 9 2025 • 19:30 • Victor Tedesco Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.66 (league 1.63) 4.69 (league 1.73)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
6.7% 7.9% 51.9%
best score tips
1 - 4
5.9%
1 - 5
5.5%
1 - 3
5.0%
Score & goals probability table
Santa Lucía
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zurrieq 0 0.2% 0.8% 1.9% 3.0% 3.5% 3.3%
1 0.3% 1.4% 3.2% 5.0% 5.9% 5.5%
2 0.2% 1.1% 2.6% 4.1% 4.8% 4.5%
3 0.1% 0.6% 1.5% 2.3% 2.7% 2.5%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.9% 1.1% 1.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricZurrieqSanta Lucía
Played55
Form20%33%
Attack28%61%
Defense39%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 111 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.212 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

62%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Zurrieq Santa Lucía
HATHAT
Played336437
Wins0%67%33%25%33%29%
Draws0%0%0%25%33%29%
Loses100%33%67%50%33%43%

Form: Zurrieq: WLLLWL • Santa Lucía: WLDWLDL

League goals

Metric Zurrieq Santa Lucía
HATHAT
GF total35810818
GF avg1.01.71.32.52.72.6
GA total93126814
GA avg3.01.02.01.52.72.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineZurrieqSanta Lucía
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%83%71%86%
1.533%50%57%71%
2.517%33%43%43%
3.50%17%29%0%
4.50%17%29%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricZurrieqSanta Lucía
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score101112

Penalties

MetricZurrieqSanta Lucía
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricZurrieqSanta Lucía
Wins11
Draws01
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-37-03-5
Biggest losses1-52-11-32-0
Goals For2375
Goals Against5233

Model comparison

MetricZurrieqSanta Lucía
Form38%63%
Att31%69%
Def52%48%
Poisson Distribution26%74%
H2h67%33%
Goals62%38%
Total46.0%54.2%

Advice: Combo Winner : Santa Lucía and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.04 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.61 @ Pinnacle
Away2.25 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.25 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ William Hill
No2.40 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Zurrieq = 1.66 (league 1.63), Santa Lucía = 4.69 (league 1.73)

Santa Lucía
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zurrieq 0 0.2% 0.8% 1.9% 3.0% 3.5% 3.3%
1 0.3% 1.4% 3.2% 5.0% 5.9% 5.5%
2 0.2% 1.1% 2.6% 4.1% 4.8% 4.5%
3 0.1% 0.6% 1.5% 2.3% 2.7% 2.5%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.9% 1.1% 1.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 6.7% · Draw 7.9% · Away win 51.9%

vtt 2 , vtd1