Wed, Dec 10 2025 • 19:30 • MFA Centenary Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.98 (league 1.64) 0.77 (league 1.68)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.1% 33.2% 27.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
17.3%
1 - 0
17.0%
0 - 1
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Marsa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Swieqi United 0 17.3% 13.4% 5.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
1 17.0% 13.1% 5.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 8.3% 6.4% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.7% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSwieqi UnitedMarsa
Played55
Form80%13%
Attack63%38%
Defense50%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Swieqi United Marsa
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins67%75%71%0%33%14%
Draws33%0%14%25%33%29%
Loses0%25%14%75%33%57%

Form: Swieqi United: WDWWLWW • Marsa: LWLDDLL

League goals

Metric Swieqi United Marsa
HATHAT
GF total7613639
GF avg2.31.51.91.51.01.3
GA total461011213
GA avg1.31.51.42.80.71.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSwieqi UnitedMarsa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%86%86%86%
1.557%29%43%57%
2.543%14%0%43%
3.50%14%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSwieqi UnitedMarsa
HATHAT
Clean sheets011011
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricSwieqi UnitedMarsa
Scored (total | %)1 | 50.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)1 | 50.00%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricSwieqi UnitedMarsa
Wins21
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-3—0-2
Biggest losses—4-01-31-0
Goals For3322
Goals Against2431

Model comparison

MetricSwieqi UnitedMarsa
Form86%14%
Att63%38%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h62%38%
Goals58%42%
Total63.3%36.8%

Advice: Double chance : Swieqi United or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.36 @ William Hill
Draw5.00 @ Betfair
Away12.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.69 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.52.18 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ Betfair
No1.80 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Swieqi United = 0.98 (league 1.64), Marsa = 0.77 (league 1.68)

Marsa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Swieqi United 0 17.3% 13.4% 5.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
1 17.0% 13.1% 5.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 8.3% 6.4% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.7% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.1% · Draw 33.2% · Away win 27.7%

vtt 3 , vtd1