Wed, Dec 10 2025 • 19:45 • Victor Tedesco Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.77 (league 1.63) 4.10 (league 1.68)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.7% 10.8% 54.7%
best score tips
1 - 4
5.9%
1 - 3
5.7%
2 - 4
5.2%
Score & goals probability table
Melita
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mgarr United 0 0.3% 1.2% 2.4% 3.2% 3.3% 2.7%
1 0.5% 2.1% 4.2% 5.7% 5.9% 4.8%
2 0.4% 1.8% 3.7% 5.1% 5.2% 4.3%
3 0.3% 1.1% 2.2% 3.0% 3.1% 2.5%
4 0.1% 0.5% 1.0% 1.3% 1.4% 1.1%
5 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMgarr UnitedMelita
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack50%81%
Defense38%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.613 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

81%
FT probability

3.5+

58%
FT probability

BTTS

86%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mgarr United Melita
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins33%75%57%50%67%57%
Draws33%0%14%25%0%14%
Loses33%25%29%25%33%29%

Form: Mgarr United: WWLLWDW • Melita: LWWWDLW

League goals

Metric Mgarr United Melita
HATHAT
GF total581310919
GF avg1.72.01.92.53.02.7
GA total73105510
GA avg2.30.81.41.31.71.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMgarr UnitedMelita
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%57%100%86%
1.543%43%71%57%
2.543%29%57%0%
3.514%14%29%0%
4.50%0%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMgarr UnitedMelita
HATHAT
Clean sheets123101
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricMgarr UnitedMelita
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricMgarr UnitedMelita
Wins23
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-44-01-5
Biggest losses1-41-01-22-1
Goals For3445
Goals Against4222

Model comparison

MetricMgarr UnitedMelita
Form41%59%
Att38%62%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution29%71%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total37.3%62.8%

Advice: Combo Winner : Melita and +1.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.10 @ 1xBet
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away2.12 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.73 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.10 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.60 @ William Hill
No2.25 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mgarr United = 1.77 (league 1.63), Melita = 4.10 (league 1.68)

Melita
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mgarr United 0 0.3% 1.2% 2.4% 3.2% 3.3% 2.7%
1 0.5% 2.1% 4.2% 5.7% 5.9% 4.8%
2 0.4% 1.8% 3.7% 5.1% 5.2% 4.3%
3 0.3% 1.1% 2.2% 3.0% 3.1% 2.5%
4 0.1% 0.5% 1.0% 1.3% 1.4% 1.1%
5 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.7% · Draw 10.8% · Away win 54.7%

vtt 4 , vtd1