Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 13:00 • Victor Tedesco Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.19 (league 1.64) 1.54 (league 1.75)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.2% 25.2% 45.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.9%
0 - 1
10.0%
1 - 2
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Gudja United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mtarfa 0 6.5% 10.0% 7.8% 4.0% 1.5% 0.5%
1 7.7% 11.9% 9.2% 4.7% 1.8% 0.6%
2 4.6% 7.1% 5.5% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3%
3 1.8% 2.8% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMtarfaGudja United
Played55
Form20%47%
Attack35%25%
Defense0%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)23 | 4.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mtarfa Gudja United
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins25%0%11%40%25%33%
Draws0%0%0%40%50%44%
Loses75%100%89%20%25%22%

Form: Mtarfa: LLLLLLLWL • Gudja United: WDDDDLLWW

League goals

Metric Mtarfa Gudja United
HATHAT
GF total5274610
GF avg1.30.40.80.81.51.1
GA total73138369
GA avg1.86.24.20.61.51.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMtarfaGudja United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.533%100%89%67%
1.522%89%22%33%
2.511%56%0%0%
3.511%56%0%0%
4.50%33%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMtarfaGudja United
HATHAT
Clean sheets000213
Failed to score246101

Penalties

MetricMtarfaGudja United
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricMtarfaGudja United
Wins11
Draws04
Losses72

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-1—1-00-1
Biggest losses0-28-00-12-1
Goals For4212
Goals Against2812

Model comparison

MetricMtarfaGudja United
Form30%70%
Att58%42%
Def18%82%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total41.2%58.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Gudja United

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home13.00 @ Betfair
Draw7.21 @ Pinnacle
Away1.21 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ Superbet
No1.85 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.88 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mtarfa = 1.19 (league 1.64), Gudja United = 1.54 (league 1.75)

Gudja United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mtarfa 0 6.5% 10.0% 7.8% 4.0% 1.5% 0.5%
1 7.7% 11.9% 9.2% 4.7% 1.8% 0.6%
2 4.6% 7.1% 5.5% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3%
3 1.8% 2.8% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.2% · Draw 25.2% · Away win 45.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1