Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 15:30 • Centenary Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.22 (league 1.64) 2.15 (league 1.74)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.7% 20.4% 56.5%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.7%
1 - 1
9.0%
0 - 2
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Balzan FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santa Lucía 0 3.4% 7.4% 8.0% 5.7% 3.1% 1.3%
1 4.2% 9.0% 9.7% 7.0% 3.8% 1.6%
2 2.5% 5.5% 5.9% 4.2% 2.3% 1.0%
3 1.0% 2.2% 2.4% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4%
4 0.3% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSanta LucíaBalzan FC
Played55
Form27%100%
Attack38%94%
Defense31%94%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.215 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.21 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

74%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Santa Lucía Balzan FC
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins25%40%33%60%100%78%
Draws25%20%22%20%0%11%
Loses50%40%44%20%0%11%

Form: Santa Lucía: WLDWLDLLW • Balzan FC: LWDWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Santa Lucía Balzan FC
HATHAT
GF total101020131023
GF avg2.52.02.22.62.52.6
GA total61218235
GA avg1.52.42.00.40.80.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSanta LucíaBalzan FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%78%89%56%
1.556%67%67%0%
2.533%44%56%0%
3.522%11%44%0%
4.522%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSanta LucíaBalzan FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets112314
Failed to score123101

Penalties

MetricSanta LucíaBalzan FC
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricSanta LucíaBalzan FC
Wins11
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-03-54-01-4
Biggest losses1-34-00-1
Goals For7544
Goals Against3411

Model comparison

MetricSanta LucíaBalzan FC
Form21%79%
Att29%71%
Def8%92%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h40%60%
Goals45%55%
Total29.5%70.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Balzan FC

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home8.65 @ 1xBet
Draw5.10 @ Superbet
Away1.33 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Betfair
No1.95 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.45 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.52.62 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Santa Lucía = 1.22 (league 1.64), Balzan FC = 2.15 (league 1.74)

Balzan FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santa Lucía 0 3.4% 7.4% 8.0% 5.7% 3.1% 1.3%
1 4.2% 9.0% 9.7% 7.0% 3.8% 1.6%
2 2.5% 5.5% 5.9% 4.2% 2.3% 1.0%
3 1.0% 2.2% 2.4% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4%
4 0.3% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.7% · Draw 20.4% · Away win 56.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1