Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 15:00 •
Stadion Tomislavgrad
Expected Goals
1.86 (league 1.63)
1.15 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 52.9% | 22.6% | 23.1% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.5%
2 - 1
9.8%
1 - 0
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Budućnost Banovići | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tomislav | 0 | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.2% | 10.5% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 8.6% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home lean
Tomislav carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 29 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Tomislav -33.4, Budućnost Banovići +3.3.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Tomislav
vs
Budućnost Banovići
Elo gapTomislav +29
Home / draw / away40% / 27% / 33%
Expected home share54%
Combined Elo2966.7
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2966.7
Elo home share
54%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | Tomislav | Budućnost Banovići |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1480.1 | 1486.6 |
| Form Elo | 1460.4 | 1493.4 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1506.6 | 1480.2 |
| Attack Elo | 1489.2 | 1512 |
| Defense Elo | 1520.9 | 1505.1 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -33.4 | +3.3 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Tomislav last-5 Elo change: -33.4; Budućnost Banovići last-5 Elo change: +3.3.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Tomislav | Budućnost Banovići |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 47% |
| Attack | 36% | 43% |
| Defense | 36% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
78%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Tomislav | Budućnost Banovići | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 10 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| Wins | 44% | 10% | 26% | 40% | 22% | 32% |
| Draws | 44% | 20% | 32% | 20% | 33% | 26% |
| Loses | 11% | 70% | 42% | 40% | 44% | 42% |
TomislavDLDLWWWDLDDWDLLLWLL
Budućnost BanovićiLDLDDLLWWDLWLWWLLDW
League goals
| Metric | Tomislav | Budućnost Banovići | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 10 | 24 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 10 | 17 | 27 | 10 | 14 | 24 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Tomislav | Budućnost Banovići | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 74% | 74% | 63% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 32% | 47% | 42% | 37% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 11% | 16% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 5% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Tomislav | Budućnost Banovići | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Tomislav | Budućnost Banovići |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Tomislav | Budućnost Banovići |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-1 | 4-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 5-1 | 1-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Tomislav | Budućnost Banovići |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 30% | 70% |
| Att | 45% | 55% |
| Def | 31% | 69% |
| Poisson Distribution | 61% | 39% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 46.5% | 53.5% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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