Sun, May 3 2026 • 15:00 •
Gradski stadion Olovo
Expected Goals
1.47 (league 1.63)
0.46 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 62.1% | 26.1% | 11.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
21.4%
2 - 0
15.7%
0 - 0
14.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Travnik | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Stupčanica Olovo | 0 | 14.5% | 6.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.4% | 9.8% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.7% | 7.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.7% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Stupčanica Olovo carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 100 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Stupčanica Olovo +19.1, Travnik -41.9.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Stupčanica Olovo
vs
Travnik
Elo gapStupčanica Olovo +100
Home / draw / away52% / 19% / 29%
Expected home share64%
Combined Elo3053.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3053.4
Elo home share
64%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Stupčanica Olovo | Travnik |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1559.2 | 1494.2 |
| Form Elo | 1567.9 | 1470.1 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1544 | 1485.5 |
| Attack Elo | 1563.9 | 1495 |
| Defense Elo | 1553.2 | 1551.1 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +19.1 | -41.9 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Stupčanica Olovo last-5 Elo change: +19.1; Travnik last-5 Elo change: -41.9.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Stupčanica Olovo | Travnik |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 13% |
| Attack | 100% | 38% |
| Defense | 38% | 13% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
68%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Stupčanica Olovo | Travnik | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 10 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| Wins | 60% | 50% | 55% | 60% | 20% | 40% |
| Draws | 10% | 10% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 25% |
| Loses | 30% | 40% | 35% | 20% | 50% | 35% |
Stupčanica OlovoLWLWWLDLWWWWWLLWDLWW
TravnikDLWWLWWWDWLWWDLDLLLD
League goals
| Metric | Stupčanica Olovo | Travnik | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 13 | 33 | 19 | 6 | 25 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 8 | 10 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 20 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Stupčanica Olovo | Travnik | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 65% | 70% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 25% | 20% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 0% | 20% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 15% | 0% | 10% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 5% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Stupčanica Olovo | Travnik | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Stupčanica Olovo | Travnik |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Stupčanica Olovo | Travnik |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-2 | 5-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Stupčanica Olovo | Travnik |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 83% | 17% |
| Att | 73% | 27% |
| Def | 58% | 42% |
| Poisson Distribution | 77% | 23% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 69.7% | 30.3% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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