Sun, May 3 2026 • 15:00 •
Stadion Luke Tešanj
Expected Goals
1.67 (league 1.63)
0.65 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 61.4% | 23.7% | 14.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
16.4%
2 - 0
13.7%
1 - 1
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Radnik Hadžići | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| TOŠK Tešanj | 0 | 9.8% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.4% | 10.6% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.7% | 8.9% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.7% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Balanced Elo outlook
Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: TOŠK Tešanj -17.9, Radnik Hadžići +34.2.
Thin confidence
Upset risk: High
Elo standalone
TOŠK Tešanj
vs
Radnik Hadžići
Elo gapTOŠK Tešanj +12
Home / draw / away37% / 29% / 34%
Expected home share52%
Combined Elo3028.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band
Thin confidence
Upset risk
High
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3028.2
Elo home share
52%
Match tone
Upset Watch
| Metric | TOŠK Tešanj | Radnik Hadžići |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1502.4 | 1525.8 |
| Form Elo | 1483.7 | 1531.1 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1521.5 | 1507.4 |
| Attack Elo | 1548.9 | 1532.3 |
| Defense Elo | 1509.3 | 1483.4 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -17.9 | +34.2 |
The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. TOŠK Tešanj last-5 Elo change: -17.9; Radnik Hadžići last-5 Elo change: +34.2.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | TOŠK Tešanj | Radnik Hadžići |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 80% |
| Attack | 50% | 100% |
| Defense | 38% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | TOŠK Tešanj | Radnik Hadžići | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 10 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| Wins | 60% | 30% | 45% | 50% | 40% | 45% |
| Draws | 30% | 10% | 20% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Loses | 10% | 60% | 35% | 30% | 40% | 35% |
TOŠK TešanjWWWWLWWDDLWLWLLLDWDL
Radnik HadžićiDWWDLLLDWDLLLWWWWWLW
League goals
| Metric | TOŠK Tešanj | Radnik Hadžići | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 16 | 29 | 11 | 17 | 28 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 4 | 17 | 21 | 8 | 21 | 29 |
| GA avg | 0.4 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | TOŠK Tešanj | Radnik Hadžići | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 85% | 65% | 70% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 35% | 35% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 15% | 5% | 20% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | TOŠK Tešanj | Radnik Hadžići | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | TOŠK Tešanj | Radnik Hadžići |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | TOŠK Tešanj | Radnik Hadžići |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-5 | 2-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-0 | 1-2 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | TOŠK Tešanj | Radnik Hadžići |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 72% | 28% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 46.3% | 53.7% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…