Omarska vs Sutjeska Foča

1st League - RS — Bosnia

Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 14:30 • Gradski Stadion Omarska

Not Started

Omarska

—

Sutjeska Foča

Expected Goals

1.47 (league 1.73) 1.04 (league 0.86)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
46.6%	26.1%	26.7%

best score tips

1 - 1

12.4%

1 - 0

11.9%

2 - 1

9.1%

Score & goals probability table

		Sutjeska Foča
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Omarska	0	8.0%	8.3%	4.4%	1.5%	0.4%	0.1%
	1	11.8%	12.4%	6.5%	2.3%	0.6%	0.1%
	2	8.8%	9.2%	4.8%	1.7%	0.4%	0.1%
	3	4.3%	4.5%	2.4%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%
	4	1.6%	1.7%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%
	5	0.5%	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

FootyWow Elo verdict

Balanced Elo outlook

Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Omarska -1.7, Sutjeska Foča -25.4.

Thin confidence Upset risk: High Elo standalone

Omarska Elo 1440.7 · -1.7

Sutjeska Foča Elo 1490 · -25.4

Elo gapSutjeska Foča +14

Home / draw / away34% / 28% / 38%

Expected home share48%

Combined Elo2930.7

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Balanced Elo outlook

Confidence band Thin confidence

Upset risk High

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 2930.7

Elo home share 48%

Match tone Good Watch

Metric	Omarska	Sutjeska Foča
Overall Elo	1440.7	1490
Form Elo	1438.6	1476.1
Home / Away Elo	1524.5	1489.3
Attack Elo	1456.9	1513.7
Defense Elo	1361.4	1489.1
Last 5 Elo change	-1.7	-25.4

The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Omarska last-5 Elo change: -1.7; Sutjeska Foča last-5 Elo change: -25.4.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Omarska	Sutjeska Foča
Played	5	5
Form	40%	27%
Attack	43%	43%
Defense	21%	43%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	6 \| 1.2	6 \| 1.2
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	11 \| 2.2	8 \| 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%

FT probability

2.5+

54%

FT probability

3.5+

39%

FT probability

BTTS

70%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Omarska			Sutjeska Foča
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	11	13	24	12	11	23
Wins	55%	0%	25%	42%	27%	35%
Draws	36%	0%	17%	17%	27%	22%
Loses	9%	100%	58%	42%	45%	43%

OmarskaLDLLLWLWLWLDLLWLDLDLLWWL

Sutjeska FočaDLWLLLWDWWDWLLDWWLWLLDL

League goals

Metric	Omarska			Sutjeska Foča
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	17	7	24	19	11	30
GF avg	1.5	0.5	1.0	1.6	1.0	1.3
GA total	10	39	49	13	19	32
GA avg	0.9	3.0	2.0	1.1	1.7	1.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Omarska		Sutjeska Foča
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	63%	83%	70%	74%
1.5	25%	54%	35%	39%
2.5	8%	38%	17%	22%
3.5	4%	21%	9%	4%
4.5	0%	8%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Omarska			Sutjeska Foča
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	4	0	4	4	2	6
Failed to score	2	7	9	4	3	7

Penalties

Metric	Omarska	Sutjeska Foča
Scored (total \| %)	3 \| 100.00%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	3	0

Streaks

Metric	Omarska	Sutjeska Foča
Wins	2	2
Draws	1	1
Losses	3	3

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	4-1	—	4-1	0-2
Biggest losses	0-4	5-0	2-3	3-0
Goals For	4	2	4	2
Goals Against	4	5	3	4

Model comparison

Metric	Omarska	Sutjeska Foča
Form	60%	40%
Att	50%	50%
Def	42%	58%
Poisson Distribution	58%	42%
H2h	20%	80%
Goals	40%	60%
Total	45.0%	55.0%

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Omarska vs Sutjeska Foča

Metric	Omarska	Sutjeska Foča
Scored (total \| %)	3 \| 100.00%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	3	0