Paraibano 2 — Brazil
Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 18:00 • Estádio Governador Ernani Sátyro
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.80 (league 1.74) 2.23 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.5% 17.7% 28.8%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.4%
3 - 2
5.9%
2 - 1
5.7%
Score & goals probability table
Spartax
0 1 2 3 4 5
Serrano PB 0 0.7% 1.5% 1.6% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3%
1 1.8% 4.1% 4.6% 3.4% 1.9% 0.8%
2 2.6% 5.7% 6.4% 4.7% 2.6% 1.2%
3 2.4% 5.3% 5.9% 4.4% 2.5% 1.1%
4 1.7% 3.7% 4.2% 3.1% 1.7% 0.8%
5 0.9% 2.1% 2.3% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSerrano PBSpartax
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack36%64%
Defense29%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

77%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

84%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Serrano PB Spartax
HATHAT
Played448538
Wins0%50%25%40%0%25%
Draws50%0%25%20%33%25%
Loses50%50%50%40%67%50%

Form: Serrano PB: DWLWLDLL • Spartax: DLLDWLLW

League goals

Metric Serrano PB Spartax
HATHAT
GF total731010414
GF avg1.80.81.32.01.31.8
GA total951410818
GA avg2.31.31.82.02.72.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSerrano PBSpartax
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%75%100%
1.538%63%63%88%
2.513%38%25%25%
3.50%0%13%13%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSerrano PBSpartax
HATHAT
Clean sheets022000
Failed to score022112

Penalties

MetricSerrano PBSpartax
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSerrano PBSpartax
Wins11
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-24-2—
Biggest losses2-33-00-34-2
Goals For3242
Goals Against3334

Model comparison

MetricSerrano PBSpartax
Form36%64%
Att36%64%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total44.8%55.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Spartax and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Serrano PB = 2.80 (league 1.74), Spartax = 2.23 (league 1.34)

Spartax
0 1 2 3 4 5
Serrano PB 0 0.7% 1.5% 1.6% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3%
1 1.8% 4.1% 4.6% 3.4% 1.9% 0.8%
2 2.6% 5.7% 6.4% 4.7% 2.6% 1.2%
3 2.4% 5.3% 5.9% 4.4% 2.5% 1.1%
4 1.7% 3.7% 4.2% 3.1% 1.7% 0.8%
5 0.9% 2.1% 2.3% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.5% · Draw 17.7% · Away win 28.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1