Azadegan League
— Iran
Tue, Sep 30 2025 • 14:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.02 (league 0.98)
0.37 (league 0.68)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 51.5% | 35.3% | 13.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
25.5%
0 - 0
25.1%
2 - 0
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Mes Soongoun | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Navad Urmia | 0 | 25.1% | 9.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.5% | 9.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.0% | 4.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Navad Urmia | Mes Soongoun |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 4 |
| Form | 40% | 8% |
| Attack | 23% | 15% |
| Defense | 77% | 54% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 2 | 0.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
48%
FT probability
2.5+
34%
FT probability
3.5+
24%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Navad Urmia | Mes Soongoun | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 0% | 33% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 100% | 33% | 60% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 20% | 50% | 100% | 75% |
Form: Navad Urmia: WDLDD • Mes Soongoun: LDLL
League goals
| Metric | Navad Urmia | Mes Soongoun | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Navad Urmia | Mes Soongoun | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 60% | 50% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Navad Urmia | Mes Soongoun | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Navad Urmia | Mes Soongoun |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Navad Urmia | Mes Soongoun |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-1 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Navad Urmia | Mes Soongoun |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 86% | 14% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 76% | 24% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 72.3% | 27.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Navad Urmia or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Navad Urmia = 1.02 (league 0.98), Mes Soongoun = 0.37 (league 0.68)
| Mes Soongoun | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Navad Urmia | 0 | 25.1% | 9.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.5% | 9.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.0% | 4.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.5% · Draw 35.3% · Away win 13.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1