Azadegan League
— Iran
Mon, Oct 6 2025 • 15:30 •
Khalij Fars Stadium
Expected Goals
0.50 (league 0.98)
0.72 (league 0.68)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 22.5% | 41.2% | 36.3% |
best score tips
0 - 0
29.6%
0 - 1
21.3%
1 - 0
14.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Navad Urmia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Shenavarsazi Qeshm | 0 | 29.6% | 21.3% | 7.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.8% | 10.6% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Shenavarsazi Qeshm | Navad Urmia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 40% |
| Attack | 25% | 63% |
| Defense | 50% | 63% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
34%
FT probability
2.5+
24%
FT probability
3.5+
17%
FT probability
BTTS
46%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Shenavarsazi Qeshm | Navad Urmia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 67% | 0% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Draws | 33% | 33% | 33% | 67% | 33% | 50% |
| Loses | 0% | 67% | 33% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
Form: Shenavarsazi Qeshm: WLWLDD • Navad Urmia: WDLDDW
League goals
| Metric | Shenavarsazi Qeshm | Navad Urmia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Shenavarsazi Qeshm | Navad Urmia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 50% | 67% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 17% | 17% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 17% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Shenavarsazi Qeshm | Navad Urmia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Shenavarsazi Qeshm | Navad Urmia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Shenavarsazi Qeshm | Navad Urmia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | — | 3-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Shenavarsazi Qeshm | Navad Urmia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 45% | 55% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 39.0% | 61.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Shenavarsazi Qeshm or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Shenavarsazi Qeshm = 0.50 (league 0.98), Navad Urmia = 0.72 (league 0.68)
| Navad Urmia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Shenavarsazi Qeshm | 0 | 29.6% | 21.3% | 7.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.8% | 10.6% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.5% · Draw 41.2% · Away win 36.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1