Mon, Oct 13 2025 • 12:00 • Shahid Dastgerdi Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.93 (league 0.98) 0.72 (league 0.68)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.6% 34.5% 26.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
19.3%
1 - 0
17.9%
0 - 1
13.9%
Naft Gachsaran
0 1 2 3 4 5
Saipa 0 19.3% 13.9% 5.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.9% 12.8% 4.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.3% 5.9% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.6% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSaipaNaft Gachsaran
Played55
Form67%27%
Attack83%50%
Defense67%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

41%
FT probability

2.5+

29%
FT probability

3.5+

21%
FT probability

BTTS

46%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Saipa Naft Gachsaran
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins33%50%43%25%0%14%
Draws33%50%43%25%67%43%
Loses33%0%14%50%33%43%

Form: Saipa: DDDWWLW • Naft Gachsaran: DDWDLLL

League goals

Metric Saipa Naft Gachsaran
HATHAT
GF total235123
GF avg0.70.80.70.30.70.4
GA total202347
GA avg0.70.00.30.81.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSaipaNaft Gachsaran
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%14%43%57%
1.514%14%0%29%
2.50%0%0%14%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSaipaNaft Gachsaran
HATHAT
Clean sheets246213
Failed to score123314

Penalties

MetricSaipaNaft Gachsaran
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricSaipaNaft Gachsaran
Wins21
Draws32
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-21-0—
Biggest losses1-2—0-23-1
Goals For1211
Goals Against2023

Model comparison

MetricSaipaNaft Gachsaran
Form71%29%
Att63%38%
Def78%22%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h91%9%
Goals64%36%
Total71.2%29.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Saipa or draw and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.91 @ 1xBet
Draw3.25 @ Unibet
Away4.85 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.50 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.37 @ Betano
No1.61 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Saipa = 0.93 (league 0.98), Naft Gachsaran = 0.72 (league 0.68)

Naft Gachsaran
0 1 2 3 4 5
Saipa 0 19.3% 13.9% 5.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.9% 12.8% 4.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.3% 5.9% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.6% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.6% · Draw 34.5% · Away win 26.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1