Azadegan League
— Iran
Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 13:15 •
Martyrs Stadium Islamshahr
Expected Goals
0.41 (league 0.98)
0.35 (league 0.68)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 25.1% | 53.8% | 21.1% |
best score tips
0 - 0
46.8%
1 - 0
19.1%
0 - 1
16.5%
| Navad Urmia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ario Eslamshahr | 0 | 46.8% | 16.5% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.1% | 6.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ario Eslamshahr | Navad Urmia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 47% |
| Attack | 0% | 75% |
| Defense | 88% | 63% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
33%
FT probability
2.5+
23%
FT probability
3.5+
16%
FT probability
BTTS
41%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ario Eslamshahr | Navad Urmia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 25% | 0% | 13% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Draws | 75% | 50% | 63% | 75% | 50% | 63% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 25% | 0% | 25% | 13% |
Form: Ario Eslamshahr: DWLDDLDD • Navad Urmia: WDLDDWDD
League goals
| Metric | Ario Eslamshahr | Navad Urmia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ario Eslamshahr | Navad Urmia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 13% | 38% | 63% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 13% | 13% | 13% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ario Eslamshahr | Navad Urmia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ario Eslamshahr | Navad Urmia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ario Eslamshahr | Navad Urmia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | 3-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ario Eslamshahr | Navad Urmia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 0% | 100% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 59% | 41% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 56.7% | 43.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Ario Eslamshahr or draw and -2.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ario Eslamshahr = 0.41 (league 0.98), Navad Urmia = 0.35 (league 0.68)
| Navad Urmia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ario Eslamshahr | 0 | 46.8% | 16.5% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.1% | 6.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.1% · Draw 53.8% · Away win 21.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1