Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 14:30 • Shahr-e Qods Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.32 (league 1.14) 3.49 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.0% 11.8% 63.8%
best score tips
1 - 3
7.6%
1 - 4
6.6%
1 - 2
6.5%
Paykan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Esteghlal FC 0 0.8% 2.8% 4.9% 5.8% 5.0% 3.5%
1 1.1% 3.7% 6.5% 7.6% 6.6% 4.6%
2 0.7% 2.5% 4.3% 5.0% 4.4% 3.1%
3 0.3% 1.1% 1.9% 2.2% 1.9% 1.4%
4 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEsteghlal FCPaykan
Played33
Form44%56%
Attack67%50%
Defense33%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 1.33 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 1.32 | 0.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Esteghlal FC Paykan
HATHAT
Played123123
Wins0%50%33%0%50%33%
Draws100%0%33%100%50%67%
Loses0%50%33%0%0%0%

Form: Esteghlal FC: WDL • Paykan: WDD

League goals

Metric Esteghlal FC Paykan
HATHAT
GF total314123
GF avg3.00.51.31.01.01.0
GA total314112
GA avg3.00.51.31.00.50.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEsteghlal FCPaykan
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%100%67%
1.533%33%0%0%
2.533%33%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEsteghlal FCPaykan
HATHAT
Clean sheets011011
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricEsteghlal FCPaykan
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricEsteghlal FCPaykan
Wins11
Draws10
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-1—0-1
Biggest losses—1-0——
Goals For3111
Goals Against3111

Model comparison

MetricEsteghlal FCPaykan
Form44%56%
Att57%43%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution28%72%
H2h93%7%
Goals88%13%
Total57.2%43.0%

Advice: Double chance : Esteghlal FC or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Esteghlal FC = 1.32 (league 1.14), Paykan = 3.49 (league 0.86)

Paykan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Esteghlal FC 0 0.8% 2.8% 4.9% 5.8% 5.0% 3.5%
1 1.1% 3.7% 6.5% 7.6% 6.6% 4.6%
2 0.7% 2.5% 4.3% 5.0% 4.4% 3.1%
3 0.3% 1.1% 1.9% 2.2% 1.9% 1.4%
4 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.0% · Draw 11.8% · Away win 63.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1