Thu, Oct 2 2025 • 14:45 •
Grand Shiraz Stadium
Expected Goals
1.32 (league 1.14)
0.23 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 65.2% | 28.2% | 6.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
27.9%
0 - 0
21.2%
2 - 0
18.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Esteghlal Khuzestan | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Fajr Sepasi | 0 | 21.2% | 4.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 27.9% | 6.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 18.4% | 4.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Fajr Sepasi | Esteghlal Khuzestan |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 53% |
| Attack | 80% | 100% |
| Defense | 60% | 20% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
43%
FT probability
2.5+
30%
FT probability
3.5+
21%
FT probability
BTTS
57%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Fajr Sepasi | Esteghlal Khuzestan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 40% | 67% | 0% | 40% |
| Draws | 0% | 100% | 60% | 33% | 50% | 40% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 20% |
Form: Fajr Sepasi: DWDWD • Esteghlal Khuzestan: DDWLW
League goals
| Metric | Fajr Sepasi | Esteghlal Khuzestan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Fajr Sepasi | Esteghlal Khuzestan | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 40% | 80% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 0% | 20% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Fajr Sepasi | Esteghlal Khuzestan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Fajr Sepasi | Esteghlal Khuzestan |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Fajr Sepasi | Esteghlal Khuzestan |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | — | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Fajr Sepasi | Esteghlal Khuzestan |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 52.8% | 47.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Fajr Sepasi or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Fajr Sepasi = 1.32 (league 1.14), Esteghlal Khuzestan = 0.23 (league 0.86)
| Esteghlal Khuzestan | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Fajr Sepasi | 0 | 21.2% | 4.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 27.9% | 6.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 18.4% | 4.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.2% · Draw 28.2% · Away win 6.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1