Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 14:30 • Azadi Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
5.06 (league 1.14) 2.04 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.0% 7.9% 7.5%
best score tips
5 - 2
4.7%
4 - 2
4.7%
5 - 1
4.7%
Score & goals probability table
Mes Rafsanjan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Esteghlal FC 0 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
1 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 1.1% 2.2% 2.2% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3%
3 1.8% 3.6% 3.7% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5%
4 2.3% 4.6% 4.7% 3.2% 1.6% 0.7%
5 2.3% 4.7% 4.7% 3.2% 1.6% 0.7%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEsteghlal FCMes Rafsanjan
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack100%40%
Defense0%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.42 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Esteghlal FC Mes Rafsanjan
HATHAT
Played246336
Wins0%25%17%33%0%17%
Draws100%50%67%67%0%33%
Loses0%25%17%0%100%50%

Form: Esteghlal FC: WDLDDD • Mes Rafsanjan: LDLDLW

League goals

Metric Esteghlal FC Mes Rafsanjan
HATHAT
GF total538224
GF avg2.50.81.30.70.70.7
GA total538077
GA avg2.50.81.30.02.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEsteghlal FCMes Rafsanjan
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%83%33%50%
1.533%33%33%50%
2.517%17%0%17%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEsteghlal FCMes Rafsanjan
HATHAT
Clean sheets011303
Failed to score011224

Penalties

MetricEsteghlal FCMes Rafsanjan
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricEsteghlal FCMes Rafsanjan
Wins10
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-12-0—
Biggest losses—1-0—2-0
Goals For3122
Goals Against3103

Model comparison

MetricEsteghlal FCMes Rafsanjan
Form44%56%
Att78%22%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h62%38%
Goals50%50%
Total56.8%43.2%

Advice: Combo Winner : Esteghlal FC and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.78 @ 188Bet
Draw3.35 @ Unibet
Away5.70 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.45 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.54 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.34 @ 188Bet
No1.61 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Esteghlal FC = 5.06 (league 1.14), Mes Rafsanjan = 2.04 (league 0.86)

Mes Rafsanjan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Esteghlal FC 0 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
1 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 1.1% 2.2% 2.2% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3%
3 1.8% 3.6% 3.7% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5%
4 2.3% 4.6% 4.7% 3.2% 1.6% 0.7%
5 2.3% 4.7% 4.7% 3.2% 1.6% 0.7%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.0% · Draw 7.9% · Away win 7.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1