Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 12:00 • Shahid Dastgerdi Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.75 (league 1.13) 0.41 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.2% 41.8% 18.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
31.4%
1 - 0
23.6%
0 - 1
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Aluminium Arak
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paykan 0 31.4% 12.7% 2.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.6% 9.6% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.9% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPaykanAluminium Arak
Played55
Form27%60%
Attack57%71%
Defense14%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

50%
FT probability

2.5+

35%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Paykan Aluminium Arak
HATHAT
Played246336
Wins0%25%17%67%33%50%
Draws100%50%67%0%0%0%
Loses0%25%17%33%67%50%

Form: Paykan: WDDDDL • Aluminium Arak: LLLWWW

League goals

Metric Paykan Aluminium Arak
HATHAT
GF total145325
GF avg0.51.00.81.00.70.8
GA total156156
GA avg0.51.31.00.31.71.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePaykanAluminium Arak
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%67%50%
1.517%33%17%17%
2.50%0%0%17%
3.50%0%0%17%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPaykanAluminium Arak
HATHAT
Clean sheets112213
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricPaykanAluminium Arak
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricPaykanAluminium Arak
Wins10
Draws40
Losses03

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-12-00-1
Biggest losses—2-00-14-1
Goals For1221
Goals Against1214

Model comparison

MetricPaykanAluminium Arak
Form31%69%
Att44%56%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h36%64%
Goals33%67%
Total42.5%57.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Aluminium Arak and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.48 @ Dafabet
Draw2.97 @ Marathonbet
Away3.10 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.56 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.12 @ Marathonbet
No1.67 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Paykan = 0.75 (league 1.13), Aluminium Arak = 0.41 (league 0.86)

Aluminium Arak
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paykan 0 31.4% 12.7% 2.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.6% 9.6% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.9% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.2% · Draw 41.8% · Away win 18.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1