Fri, Oct 31 2025 • 13:00 •
Azadi Stadium
Expected Goals
2.29 (league 1.14)
1.58 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 50.7% | 19.9% | 25.9% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.6%
1 - 1
7.5%
2 - 2
6.8%
| Aluminium Arak | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Esteghlal FC | 0 | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 4.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Esteghlal FC | Aluminium Arak |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 87% |
| Attack | 57% | 36% |
| Defense | 71% | 100% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 0 | 0 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Esteghlal FC | Aluminium Arak | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 33% | 40% | 38% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Draws | 67% | 40% | 50% | 25% | 0% | 13% |
| Loses | 0% | 20% | 13% | 25% | 50% | 38% |
Form: Esteghlal FC: WDLDDDWW • Aluminium Arak: LLLWWWWD
League goals
| Metric | Esteghlal FC | Aluminium Arak | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 6 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 5 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Esteghlal FC | Aluminium Arak | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 63% | 63% | 38% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 25% | 13% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 13% | 0% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Esteghlal FC | Aluminium Arak | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Esteghlal FC | Aluminium Arak |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Esteghlal FC | Aluminium Arak |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-3 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | 0-1 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Esteghlal FC | Aluminium Arak |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 41% | 59% |
| Att | 62% | 38% |
| Def | 0% | 100% |
| Poisson Distribution | 65% | 35% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 82% | 18% |
| Total | 68.6% | 31.4% |
Advice: Double chance : Esteghlal FC or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Esteghlal FC = 2.29 (league 1.14), Aluminium Arak = 1.58 (league 0.86)
| Aluminium Arak | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Esteghlal FC | 0 | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 4.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.7% · Draw 19.9% · Away win 25.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1