Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 19:00 •
Estádio Municipal Bezerrão
Expected Goals
0.43 (league 1.65)
2.57 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 4.2% | 12.1% | 78.9% |
best score tips
0 - 2
16.5%
0 - 3
14.2%
0 - 1
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Tupi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Serranense | 0 | 5.0% | 12.8% | 16.5% | 14.2% | 9.1% | 4.7% |
| 1 | 2.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.0% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Serranense | Tupi |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 11% | 56% |
| Attack | 12% | 24% |
| Defense | 59% | 82% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.7 | 4 | 1.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 2.3 | 3 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
38%
FT probability
2.5+
27%
FT probability
3.5+
19%
FT probability
BTTS
29%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Serranense | Tupi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Draws | 100% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 100% | 67% |
| Loses | 0% | 100% | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Serranense: LDL • Tupi: DWD
League goals
| Metric | Serranense | Tupi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 0 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 3.5 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Serranense | Tupi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 33% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 67% | 67% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 67% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Serranense | Tupi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Serranense | Tupi |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Serranense | Tupi |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Serranense | Tupi |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 17% | 83% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 30% | 70% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 47.0% | 53.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Tupi
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Serranense = 0.43 (league 1.65), Tupi = 2.57 (league 1.16)
| Tupi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Serranense | 0 | 5.0% | 12.8% | 16.5% | 14.2% | 9.1% | 4.7% |
| 1 | 2.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.0% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.2% · Draw 12.1% · Away win 78.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1