Shield Cup — Jordan
Sat, Dec 27 2025 • 16:00 • Prince Mohammed Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.06 (league 1.26) 0.18 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
80.8% 14.9% 2.4%
best score tips
2 - 0
22.7%
1 - 0
22.0%
3 - 0
15.6%
Score & goals probability table
Sama Al Sarhan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al Ahli 0 10.7% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.0% 3.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 22.7% 4.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.6% 2.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.0% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAl AhliSama Al Sarhan
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack54%38%
Defense54%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Al Ahli Sama Al Sarhan
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins50%25%38%50%0%25%
Draws25%25%25%0%0%0%
Loses25%50%38%50%100%75%

Form: Al Ahli: WLDDWLWL • Sama Al Sarhan: LLLWLLWL

League goals

Metric Al Ahli Sama Al Sarhan
HATHAT
GF total5510527
GF avg1.31.31.31.30.50.9
GA total1784812
GA avg0.31.81.01.02.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAl AhliSama Al Sarhan
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%50%63%88%
1.538%25%13%50%
2.513%13%13%13%
3.50%13%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAl AhliSama Al Sarhan
HATHAT
Clean sheets314101
Failed to score202123

Penalties

MetricAl AhliSama Al Sarhan
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAl AhliSama Al Sarhan
Wins11
Draws20
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-23-1—
Biggest losses0-14-11-23-0
Goals For3231
Goals Against1423

Model comparison

MetricAl AhliSama Al Sarhan
Form54%46%
Att58%42%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution94%6%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total65.0%35.0%

Advice: Double chance : Al Ahli or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.22 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away3.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ William Hill
No1.84 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.73 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Al Ahli = 2.06 (league 1.26), Sama Al Sarhan = 0.18 (league 0.86)

Sama Al Sarhan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al Ahli 0 10.7% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.0% 3.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 22.7% 4.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.6% 2.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.0% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 80.8% · Draw 14.9% · Away win 2.4%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1