Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 13:00 • Stade Communal
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.60 (league 1.33) 1.22 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.2% 30.4% 51.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
19.8%
0 - 0
16.2%
0 - 2
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Stade Verviers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jette 0 16.2% 19.8% 12.1% 4.9% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.7% 11.9% 7.2% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 2.9% 3.6% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home lean

Jette carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 18 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Jette +8.7, Stade Verviers +43.6.

Lean confidence Upset risk: Medium-high Elo standalone
Jette Elo 1543.6 · +8.7
vs
Stade Verviers Elo 1560.2 · +43.6
Elo gapJette +18
Home / draw / away38% / 28% / 34%
Expected home share53%
Combined Elo3103.8
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home lean
Confidence band Lean confidence
Upset risk Medium-high
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3103.8
Elo home share 53%
Match tone Upset Watch
Metric Jette Stade Verviers
Overall Elo1543.61560.2
Form Elo1549.81578.9
Home / Away Elo1515.21548.5
Attack Elo1521.51470.2
Defense Elo1556.81596.5
Last 5 Elo change+8.7+43.6

There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Jette last-5 Elo change: +8.7; Stade Verviers last-5 Elo change: +43.6.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJetteStade Verviers
Played55
Form53%87%
Attack64%57%
Defense57%86%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Jette Stade Verviers
HATHAT
Played161733171633
Wins25%41%33%53%56%55%
Draws56%35%45%18%31%24%
Loses19%24%21%29%13%21%
JetteDDDLWDWWDDDDDLWDDWWDLLLLDWWWDDWLW
Stade VerviersWWWWWWDLWLWWDLWLWWDWLDLDDWLDWWWWD

League goals

Metric Jette Stade Verviers
HATHAT
GF total163450182644
GF avg1.02.01.51.11.61.3
GA total142640181230
GA avg0.91.51.21.10.80.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJetteStade Verviers
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%76%73%55%
1.539%33%39%24%
2.524%9%18%6%
3.59%3%3%6%
4.56%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJetteStade Verviers
HATHAT
Clean sheets7187815
Failed to score549459

Penalties

MetricJetteStade Verviers
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricJetteStade Verviers
Wins36
Draws52
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-52-00-3
Biggest losses1-34-01-42-0
Goals For3534
Goals Against3442

Model comparison

MetricJetteStade Verviers
Form38%62%
Att53%47%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h64%36%
Goals67%33%
Total46.7%53.3%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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