Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 13:00 •
Stade Communal
Expected Goals
0.60 (league 1.33)
1.22 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 18.2% | 30.4% | 51.2% |
best score tips
0 - 1
19.8%
0 - 0
16.2%
0 - 2
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Stade Verviers | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Jette | 0 | 16.2% | 19.8% | 12.1% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 9.7% | 11.9% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home lean
Jette carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 18 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Jette +8.7, Stade Verviers +43.6.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Jette
vs
Stade Verviers
Elo gapJette +18
Home / draw / away38% / 28% / 34%
Expected home share53%
Combined Elo3103.8
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3103.8
Elo home share
53%
Match tone
Upset Watch
| Metric | Jette | Stade Verviers |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1543.6 | 1560.2 |
| Form Elo | 1549.8 | 1578.9 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1515.2 | 1548.5 |
| Attack Elo | 1521.5 | 1470.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1556.8 | 1596.5 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +8.7 | +43.6 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Jette last-5 Elo change: +8.7; Stade Verviers last-5 Elo change: +43.6.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Jette | Stade Verviers |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 87% |
| Attack | 64% | 57% |
| Defense | 57% | 86% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Jette | Stade Verviers | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 17 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 33 |
| Wins | 25% | 41% | 33% | 53% | 56% | 55% |
| Draws | 56% | 35% | 45% | 18% | 31% | 24% |
| Loses | 19% | 24% | 21% | 29% | 13% | 21% |
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Stade VerviersWWWWWWDLWLWWDLWLWWDWLDLDDWLDWWWWD
League goals
| Metric | Jette | Stade Verviers | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 34 | 50 | 18 | 26 | 44 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 14 | 26 | 40 | 18 | 12 | 30 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Jette | Stade Verviers | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 76% | 73% | 55% |
| 1.5 | 39% | 33% | 39% | 24% |
| 2.5 | 24% | 9% | 18% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 3% | 3% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Jette | Stade Verviers | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Jette | Stade Verviers |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Jette | Stade Verviers |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-5 | 2-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 4-0 | 1-4 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Jette | Stade Verviers |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 62% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 25% | 75% |
| Poisson Distribution | 33% | 67% |
| H2h | 64% | 36% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 46.7% | 53.3% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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