Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 13:00 •
Stade H.Colley-Sainval
Expected Goals
0.68 (league 1.33)
2.17 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 10.2% | 18.0% | 69.5% |
best score tips
0 - 2
13.7%
0 - 1
12.6%
0 - 3
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Onhaye | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tilffois | 0 | 5.8% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 2.3% |
| 1 | 3.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.6% | |
| 2 | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away strong edge
Onhaye carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 190 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Tilffois +1.7, Onhaye +32.9.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Tilffois
vs
Onhaye
Elo gapOnhaye +190
Home / draw / away21% / 18% / 61%
Expected home share25%
Combined Elo2968.8
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2968.8
Elo home share
25%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Tilffois | Onhaye |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1372 | 1596.8 |
| Form Elo | 1362 | 1617.2 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1455.9 | 1551.9 |
| Attack Elo | 1361 | 1588.1 |
| Defense Elo | 1394.6 | 1514.5 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +1.7 | +32.9 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Tilffois last-5 Elo change: +1.7; Onhaye last-5 Elo change: +32.9.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Tilffois | Onhaye |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 87% |
| Attack | 14% | 79% |
| Defense | 57% | 79% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
78%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Tilffois | Onhaye | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 17 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 33 |
| Wins | 19% | 12% | 15% | 59% | 56% | 58% |
| Draws | 25% | 18% | 21% | 12% | 31% | 21% |
| Loses | 56% | 71% | 64% | 29% | 13% | 21% |
TilffoisDLDWLWWLLDDWLLLLLLLLLLLDLLLLDLLWD
OnhayeLWLWLWLWDWWDDDWDWWLWWLWWDWLWDWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Tilffois | Onhaye | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 10 | 25 | 33 | 26 | 59 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 26 | 34 | 60 | 30 | 16 | 46 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Tilffois | Onhaye | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 45% | 85% | 88% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 24% | 52% | 64% | 42% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 21% | 18% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 18% | 9% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Tilffois | Onhaye | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 12 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Tilffois | Onhaye |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Tilffois | Onhaye |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 11 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 2-3 | 4-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-5 | 5-1 | 0-4 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 5 | 4 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Tilffois | Onhaye |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 28% | 72% |
| Att | 15% | 85% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 25% | 75% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 28.8% | 71.2% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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