Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 13:00 •
Complexe Sportif de Neder-Over-Heembeek
Expected Goals
2.34 (league 1.33)
1.61 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 50.9% | 19.6% | 25.6% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.5%
1 - 1
7.2%
2 - 2
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Tournai | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sporting Bruxelles | 0 | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 4.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Sporting Bruxelles carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 160 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Sporting Bruxelles -7.6, Tournai -24.6.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Sporting Bruxelles
vs
Tournai
Elo gapSporting Bruxelles +160
Home / draw / away59% / 18% / 23%
Expected home share72%
Combined Elo2750.6
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2750.6
Elo home share
72%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Sporting Bruxelles | Tournai |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1438 | 1312.6 |
| Form Elo | 1426.2 | 1294.5 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1476.9 | 1426.7 |
| Attack Elo | 1439.8 | 1364.6 |
| Defense Elo | 1405 | 1257.2 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -7.6 | -24.6 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Sporting Bruxelles last-5 Elo change: -7.6; Tournai last-5 Elo change: -24.6.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sporting Bruxelles | Tournai |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 7% |
| Attack | 21% | 21% |
| Defense | 21% | 29% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
91%
FT probability
2.5+
64%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sporting Bruxelles | Tournai | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 17 | 32 | 16 | 15 | 31 |
| Wins | 33% | 12% | 22% | 0% | 13% | 6% |
| Draws | 7% | 29% | 19% | 25% | 13% | 19% |
| Loses | 60% | 59% | 59% | 75% | 73% | 74% |
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TournaiLLLLLLLLDLLLDWLLDWLLLDLDLLLLLLD
League goals
| Metric | Sporting Bruxelles | Tournai | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 11 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 29 | 29 | 58 | 41 | 36 | 77 |
| GA avg | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 2.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sporting Bruxelles | Tournai | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 59% | 81% | 77% | 90% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 59% | 16% | 77% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 22% | 3% | 55% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 9% | 0% | 19% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sporting Bruxelles | Tournai | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sporting Bruxelles | Tournai |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sporting Bruxelles | Tournai |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 8 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-2 | — | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 6-0 | 1-5 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sporting Bruxelles | Tournai |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 83% | 17% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 48% | 52% |
| Poisson Distribution | 60% | 40% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 56.8% | 43.2% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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