Not Started
Expected Goals
2.34 (league 1.33) 1.61 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.9% 19.6% 25.6%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.5%
1 - 1
7.2%
2 - 2
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
Tournai
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting Bruxelles 0 1.9% 3.1% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
1 4.5% 7.2% 5.8% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4%
2 5.3% 8.5% 6.8% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5%
3 4.1% 6.6% 5.3% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4%
4 2.4% 3.9% 3.1% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
5 1.1% 1.8% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home strong edge

Sporting Bruxelles carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 160 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Sporting Bruxelles -7.6, Tournai -24.6.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
Sporting Bruxelles Elo 1438 · -7.6
vs
Tournai Elo 1312.6 · -24.6
Elo gapSporting Bruxelles +160
Home / draw / away59% / 18% / 23%
Expected home share72%
Combined Elo2750.6
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2750.6
Elo home share 72%
Match tone Heavy Favorite
Metric Sporting Bruxelles Tournai
Overall Elo14381312.6
Form Elo1426.21294.5
Home / Away Elo1476.91426.7
Attack Elo1439.81364.6
Defense Elo14051257.2
Last 5 Elo change-7.6-24.6

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Sporting Bruxelles last-5 Elo change: -7.6; Tournai last-5 Elo change: -24.6.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSporting BruxellesTournai
Played55
Form33%7%
Attack21%21%
Defense21%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sporting Bruxelles Tournai
HATHAT
Played151732161531
Wins33%12%22%0%13%6%
Draws7%29%19%25%13%19%
Loses60%59%59%75%73%74%
Sporting BruxellesLLDLLWWLDLLWLLLWDWLLDLLLLWLDLLWD
TournaiLLLLLLLLDLLLDWLLDWLLLDLDLLLLLLD

League goals

Metric Sporting Bruxelles Tournai
HATHAT
GF total191130151530
GF avg1.30.60.90.91.01.0
GA total292958413677
GA avg1.91.71.82.62.42.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSporting BruxellesTournai
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%81%77%90%
1.525%59%16%77%
2.59%22%3%55%
3.50%9%0%19%
4.50%6%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSporting BruxellesTournai
HATHAT
Clean sheets336123
Failed to score21113437

Penalties

MetricSporting BruxellesTournai
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSporting BruxellesTournai
Wins21
Draws11
Losses48

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-2—0-2
Biggest losses1-56-01-55-1
Goals For3332
Goals Against5655

Model comparison

MetricSporting BruxellesTournai
Form83%17%
Att50%50%
Def48%52%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total56.8%43.2%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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