Gullegem vs HO Kalken

Second Amateur Division - VFV A — Belgium

Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 13:00 • Stadion FC Gullegem

Not Started

Gullegem

—

HO Kalken

Expected Goals

1.88 (league 1.62) 1.92 (league 1.41)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
37.2%	21.3%	38.9%

best score tips

1 - 1

8.1%

1 - 2

7.8%

2 - 1

7.6%

Score & goals probability table

		HO Kalken
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Gullegem	0	2.2%	4.3%	4.1%	2.6%	1.3%	0.5%
	1	4.2%	8.1%	7.8%	5.0%	2.4%	0.9%
	2	3.9%	7.6%	7.3%	4.7%	2.2%	0.9%
	3	2.5%	4.7%	4.6%	2.9%	1.4%	0.5%
	4	1.2%	2.2%	2.1%	1.4%	0.7%	0.3%
	5	0.4%	0.8%	0.8%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%

FootyWow Elo verdict

Balanced Elo outlook

Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Gullegem +2.8, HO Kalken -4.8.

Thin confidence Upset risk: High Elo standalone

Gullegem Elo 1466.1 · +2.8

HO Kalken Elo 1491 · -4.8

Elo gapGullegem +10

Home / draw / away36% / 29% / 35%

Expected home share51%

Combined Elo2957.1

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Balanced Elo outlook

Confidence band Thin confidence

Upset risk High

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 2957.1

Elo home share 51%

Match tone Tactical Watch

Metric	Gullegem	HO Kalken
Overall Elo	1466.1	1491
Form Elo	1465.8	1486.7
Home / Away Elo	1483	1503.6
Attack Elo	1507.8	1523.3
Defense Elo	1442.2	1420.9
Last 5 Elo change	+2.8	-4.8

The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Gullegem last-5 Elo change: +2.8; HO Kalken last-5 Elo change: -4.8.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Gullegem	HO Kalken
Played	5	5
Form	40%	27%
Attack	32%	21%
Defense	53%	47%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	6 \| 1.2	4 \| 0.8
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	9 \| 1.8	10 \| 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%

FT probability

2.5+

66%

FT probability

3.5+

47%

FT probability

BTTS

79%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Gullegem			HO Kalken
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	14	15	29	15	14	29
Wins	29%	20%	24%	33%	43%	38%
Draws	29%	27%	28%	33%	7%	21%
Loses	43%	53%	48%	33%	50%	41%

GullegemLWDDLLWDLDWDLLWLDLLDLWDLLLLWW

HO KalkenDDWWLWWLWWLWDWDLLDLLWLWLLLDWL

League goals

Metric	Gullegem			HO Kalken
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	22	20	42	20	22	42
GF avg	1.6	1.3	1.4	1.3	1.6	1.4
GA total	24	29	53	26	27	53
GA avg	1.7	1.9	1.8	1.7	1.9	1.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Gullegem		HO Kalken
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	76%	93%	79%	86%
1.5	48%	66%	38%	48%
2.5	17%	21%	24%	31%
3.5	3%	3%	3%	17%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Gullegem			HO Kalken
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	2	0	2	1	3	4
Failed to score	3	4	7	3	3	6

Penalties

Metric	Gullegem	HO Kalken
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Gullegem	HO Kalken
Wins	1	2
Draws	2	2
Losses	4	3

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	3-1	2-4	4-2	0-3
Biggest losses	0-3	4-0	1-4	4-0
Goals For	3	4	4	3
Goals Against	3	4	4	4

Model comparison

Metric	Gullegem	HO Kalken
Form	60%	40%
Att	60%	40%
Def	53%	47%
Poisson Distribution	49%	51%
H2h	0%	100%
Goals	33%	67%
Total	51.0%	49.0%

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Gullegem vs HO Kalken

Metric	Gullegem	HO Kalken
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0